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Messages - arizonaheat

#1
Ask the Experts / Re: Free Contest
May 05, 2017, 08:39:27 PM
im game, but this box probably isnt   7-2-4-8    107 degrees in phoenix today.  hope louisville is a little better.
#2
Ask the Experts / Re: Stand or Try to beat!
October 24, 2015, 10:08:50 AM
I\'ll weigh in here:

Turf--Golden Horn, a monster, yes, but also a monster pushed significantly in the Qipco Irish Champion Stakes.  And let\'s not forget the an abrupt left handed turn (despite a right hand whip) he took in deep stretch that would have been an automatic disqualification in the US.  I\'m convinced that Shining Copper will be the rabbit for the Ramsey\'s and GH will sit second or third, make his move around the far turn, and from there, he\'ll either win convincingly, or as I suspect there can be a number of entrants in here (Red Rifle, Twilight Eclipse, BB Kitten and The Pizza Man) who have numbers that are competitive here challenged him to the wire.  For me, I\'ll take a stand against GH, and if he wins, I\'ll clap in respect.

Juvenile Filly--Songbird, me thinks hands down that she is probably the most likely winner on the BC card.  Albeit, I\'ll bow to the \"experts\" who will note that any 2 year old at any time can suddenly have the racing \"light bulb\" come on and run a number significantly better than the race before. The trouble is predicting when that is going to happen.  

Mile--Liam\'s Map, what to do with this one?  Connections don\'t want anything to do with Pharoah, so they choose the \"easier\" mile, and what supposedly is the guaranteed winner\'s share.  As we all know, nothing is given in this sport, so I can see LM get beat just as much as I can see him winning by 10. In the end, I see ALOT OF EARLY SPEED in this race, making me think of taking a stand against the Fav, and once again, will probably clap with respect if he does cross the wire first. (looking at possible upsetters including Wicked Strong and Red Vine.)

Just my two cents short of a dollar.
#3
Ask the Experts / Re: Pletcher at Keenleland
October 17, 2015, 11:18:26 PM
Experts: This is what exactly what I was kinda going after.  

Knowing that his overall BC record was suspect, but at Keeneland he does much better.   With BC 2012, 2013, 2014 all being out West, you could conceivably argue that the long distance shipping added to the lack of performance by his runners.  Of course, it could have also been he just didn\'t have the talent.  

However, in 2010 he had three BC winners at Churchill.    It wouldn\'t be a long stretch to believe that 2015 may be a much better BC for this trainer.  All his runners (sans Liam\'s Map) should be reasonable odds as well.

Just some pre-BC things to consider
#4
Ask the Experts / Pletcher at Keenleland
October 17, 2015, 04:15:33 PM
Doing some research for this year\'s cup and a little stuck.  Since this is the Ask the Experts area, was wondering if anyone knew where I can find training records at Keeneland.  Specifically I am looking to see what Pletcher\'s record is shipping in to Keeneland.  

Anybody have stats for this?
#5
Ask the Experts / visiting the Spa
August 16, 2015, 08:43:41 PM
Gentlemen . . .  faithful reader here very rarely post, but next week am checking off one of the \"bucketlists\" in life with my first visit to the spa.  

Looking forward to sharing some adult beverages from the Forum bretheren here.  Look for the ASU Sun Devil shirt at the TG Seminar on Saturday, and please say HI.

Thanks