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Messages - Focus959

#1
Ask the Experts / Re: Aqueduct Race 2 today
November 13, 2025, 05:52:25 PM
There is no \"explaining this away\" when the pundits, including Mr. Serling et al assert: \"the win pools and the exacta pools are disconnected\" i.e., they do not correlate. If a horseplayer, especially the legacy guys (like me) think they are getting screwed, we are, and this is one major reason the game is in big trouble.
#2
Yes, you are correct, 106. The original Formulator chart had a very slow race- they must have corrected it.
#3
Was that the slowest Met Mile in history? Raging Torrent 94 Beyer and Fierceness bounces to the sky w/90 Beyer. Nobody showed up.
#4
Ask the Experts / Re: Lawsuit Idea
February 10, 2025, 12:00:39 PM
In the McKnight on Pegasus Day, I was watching Dashman bounce around between 35-1 and 40-1 for 3 minutes as the field was lining up behind the gate on the backstretch. I\'m 100% sure he was 38-1 walking into the gate 9 (and last to load). I figured I needed some value from that post in that field and was hoping Geroux would send. He sure did and held on BUT... I was \"rewarded and robbed\" at 19-1!  We\'re taking a 4 figure robbery here. Just unconscionable. NYRA (or boycott) is the only option with this issue and I\'m sad the TGPS program is now with Stronach. I\'m sure TG tried to save the NYRA deal.
#5
Ask the Experts / Kinetic Sky -Queen's County
December 31, 2023, 10:18:02 AM
Back in 3 days, too soon for a figure?

Glad Dutrow is back so he can even out the \"horses don\'t run as often as they used to\" problem.
#6
Ask the Experts / Re: Listen...
May 10, 2021, 06:11:45 PM
It takes 4-8 weeks for the split sample, so hypothetically, he could win the Preakness and Belmont and get DQ\'d from the Triple Crown for a drug positive, Just when you thought the game hits rock bottom, look out below. Baffert taking us on a ride...
#7
Ask the Experts / Known Agenda
March 26, 2021, 08:56:06 PM
Apparently TG has this fig higher than Beyer for a huge improvement. Beyer was wrestling with the number.
#8
Ask the Experts / Today's overweights question
July 04, 2020, 09:52:57 AM
Why is everyone overweight to 120 lbs today in the races where the assigned weights are less?
#9
Ask the Experts / Re: Curlin FL Derby
March 28, 2020, 11:53:25 AM
Yes, I\'m using him because he broke outwards terribly in the FOY and jock had to take a hold, and now drops to the rail. Second race around 2 turns should improve.
#10
Delay caused by #10 in 6th race collapsing
#11
Ask the Experts / Re: Royal Ascot stream on ADWs
June 18, 2019, 05:41:34 PM
NYRA Bets: \"UK Ascot\" all good to go.
#12
Ask the Experts / Ascot odds warning
June 18, 2019, 01:10:26 PM
In the Ascot closer I bet Addeyeb at 9-1 (results still show final odds at 9-1) and the win mutuel was 12.00!

Chatted w/Twin Spires and was told United Tote NOT updating pools, so good luck with Ascot. Lots of rain forecast on the tophat show.
#13
Ask the Experts / Re: The DQ
May 05, 2019, 09:06:32 AM
Let\'s make a list of the races where a foul of this sort is worthy of a DQ, and another list where fouls of this sort do not apply.
#14
Ask the Experts / Re: Derby
April 23, 2019, 08:10:14 PM
In the \"less is more\" category, here are the number of 3 yo starts since 2000. (Barbaro had 2 dirt starts and won on the turf January).

Current ML favorite sitting with 4 starts; that would end a long run...

2018   Justify   3
2017   AD   3
2016   Nyquist   2
2015   AP   2
2014   CC   3
2013   Orb   3
2012   IHA   2
2011   AK   2
2010   SS   2
2009   MTB   2
2008   BB   2
2007   SS   2
2006   Barbaro   3
2005   Giacomo   3
2004   Smarty Jones   3
2003   Funny Cide    3
2002   War Emblem   4
2001   Monarchos   4
2000   Fu Peg   4
#15
Ask the Experts / No lasix Pegasus turf angle
January 23, 2019, 06:37:34 AM
Except for Eragon, who was eased in the first Pegasus, this is the first year we have some real competitive entrants who get in very light by declining lasix. Weight dropped is versus last effort:

Turf:
Magic Wand: -8 lbs
Channel Maker: -9 lbs
Aerolith: - 9lbs

Dirt: all using lasix