Because I found a horse...and she\'s gonna be a price.
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#2
Ask the Experts / Re: Godolphin
April 10, 2022, 04:23:51 PM
Matareya just aired for Godolphin in the Beaumont at Keeneland. I\'m no figure maker but if Radio Daze paired up, then Matareya probably earned a fig that would make her a Ky Oaks contender if they duplicate the route that Bird Town did several years ago. Regardless, Matareya was out of this world today.
#3
Ask the Experts / Asmussen over last 30 days
November 02, 2021, 11:31:35 AM
Is there any chance you could post Asmussen\'s top/pair/off/x stats in Kentucky only over the last 30 days?
#4
Ask the Experts / Re: Slumber Party/Beaumont Stakes number
April 27, 2021, 10:12:44 PM
Excellent! Thank you for the swift response.
#5
Ask the Experts / Slumber Party/Beaumont Stakes number
April 27, 2021, 09:35:04 PM
Hello all,
I have a question about the last figure for Slumber Party in the Beaumont Stakes at Keeneland. It looks like she bounced off of her debut fig, but digging into the race - the Beaumont is run at the Beard Course distance of 7 furlongs and 184 feet (equibase says abt 7 furlongs). The TG sheet just says the race distance is 7 furlongs.
Is there any chance you guys calculated the fig using 7 furlongs for the distance rather than the extra 184 feet? I think this affects Almafi Princess earlier on the Oaks day card as well. It would seem that their fig would be faster if calculated based on a slightly longer distance?
Or is the number 100% correct?
Thanks for all you do. Love this time of year!
I have a question about the last figure for Slumber Party in the Beaumont Stakes at Keeneland. It looks like she bounced off of her debut fig, but digging into the race - the Beaumont is run at the Beard Course distance of 7 furlongs and 184 feet (equibase says abt 7 furlongs). The TG sheet just says the race distance is 7 furlongs.
Is there any chance you guys calculated the fig using 7 furlongs for the distance rather than the extra 184 feet? I think this affects Almafi Princess earlier on the Oaks day card as well. It would seem that their fig would be faster if calculated based on a slightly longer distance?
Or is the number 100% correct?
Thanks for all you do. Love this time of year!
#6
Ask the Experts / Re: Derby Fav
April 10, 2021, 06:12:08 PM
Hoping Caddo River goes to help spice up the pace, which is something recent runnings have sorely missed. Very interested to see numbers for Hot Rod Charlie, Highly Motivated, Known Agenda and even Super Stock now. Think all will benefit from a faster than par pace.
#7
Ask the Experts / Guessing there was a dead rail today
September 04, 2020, 03:09:59 PM
Another big day at Churchill marred by a dead rail?
#8
Ask the Experts / Thousand Words Eye Popping Beyer
August 02, 2020, 11:56:53 AM
Thousand Words ran a 104 Beyer yesterday at Del Mar. Maybe a -1 TG or so? I would estimate that if this number is accurate, then all members of the quartet earned a new top, including Honor A. P., who certainly didn’t look like he was at his best, but was 2 paths outside the winner the entire journey.
In addition, the 3rd and 4th place finishers would have had to make significant leaps, as well as they were defeated by the winner by less than 2 lengths.
In addition, the 3rd and 4th place finishers would have had to make significant leaps, as well as they were defeated by the winner by less than 2 lengths.
#9
Ask the Experts / Re: Figure Making?
May 05, 2020, 09:56:15 AM
Without giving away the actual figure, can you comment on Dunph\'s number from Saturday?
#10
Ask the Experts / Re: Arkansas Derby day
April 15, 2020, 09:16:04 PM
I am not. Forgot for a minute what you guys are going thru. Hope everybody stays safe.
#11
Ask the Experts / Arkansas Derby day
April 15, 2020, 08:01:57 PM
Any chance at all we could get a seminar for Arkansas Derby day? Might be the last big day of racing we’ll get for awhile.
#12
Ask the Experts / Re: Who amongst us is surprised?
March 09, 2020, 11:01:31 AM
Breakfast??? Like Wagner\'s?
#13
Ask the Experts / Dead turf rail question
May 10, 2019, 07:00:54 AM
I love compiling a list of horses that raced on dead turf rails after Derby weekend and then betting them back. This year, however, it looks like several of the \"dead rail runners\" ran well relative to those that didn\'t. Would you consider this year\'s version of the dead rail less of a hindrance than years past?
#14
Ask the Experts / Re: Straight From the Trainers Mouth
May 03, 2019, 07:50:57 PM
So that means Baffert really likes Roadster.
#15
Ask the Experts / Bellafina Romps In Kentucky Oaks?
April 29, 2019, 09:17:33 AM
Not a lot of talk about the \"other big race\" this week and there\'s probably good reason for it. I find the race very confusing and am anxiously awaiting the seminar to help clear things up.
From my limited knowledge of sheet reading- Bellafina looks like the one most likely to win the race- with the big 2 year old top, exceeding the top, getting the bounce out of the way, and returning to the top. But, I assume there are reasons to bet against her as the favorite- that Breeders\' Cup debacle last fall and the bo/bi that accompanies her figs.
With that said, nothing sticks out behind her. Restless Rider looked like a filly that was ready to move forward, but she draws the 14 hole. After that, this field looks about as average as any Oaks field ever assembled.
Why is Baffert running Flor de la Mar? Is she getting ready to make an Arrogate-like move forward on Friday? Champagne Anyone is supposedly working well, but she\'s on the slow side.
Chocolate Kisses intrigues me a bit as it looks like there\'s no way to avoid a fast pace with Motion Emotion winging it early and Serengeti Empress in hot pursuit from the 13 hole. \'Kisses\' ran a nice fig at Oaklawn and then bounced hard, but has had several weeks since the big OP number. Her lineage is stellar, gets pace setup, and it wouldn\'t be that much of a stretch to see her squeeze out a new top by 1 point or so with the right trip. Speaking of trips- everybody craps on Leparoux, but he knows how to time the finish line.
Help?
From my limited knowledge of sheet reading- Bellafina looks like the one most likely to win the race- with the big 2 year old top, exceeding the top, getting the bounce out of the way, and returning to the top. But, I assume there are reasons to bet against her as the favorite- that Breeders\' Cup debacle last fall and the bo/bi that accompanies her figs.
With that said, nothing sticks out behind her. Restless Rider looked like a filly that was ready to move forward, but she draws the 14 hole. After that, this field looks about as average as any Oaks field ever assembled.
Why is Baffert running Flor de la Mar? Is she getting ready to make an Arrogate-like move forward on Friday? Champagne Anyone is supposedly working well, but she\'s on the slow side.
Chocolate Kisses intrigues me a bit as it looks like there\'s no way to avoid a fast pace with Motion Emotion winging it early and Serengeti Empress in hot pursuit from the 13 hole. \'Kisses\' ran a nice fig at Oaklawn and then bounced hard, but has had several weeks since the big OP number. Her lineage is stellar, gets pace setup, and it wouldn\'t be that much of a stretch to see her squeeze out a new top by 1 point or so with the right trip. Speaking of trips- everybody craps on Leparoux, but he knows how to time the finish line.
Help?
