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Messages - billk5300s

#1
Nice call on Balantina!  I hope you hit that one hard at the window!
#2
Ask the Experts / Does it ever go the other way?
September 12, 2025, 06:01:33 AM
Not one to follow conspiracies but it really seems like there is PP going on right in front of us.  Boscar pointed out a major late odds drop at Aqueduct in a race where the favorite was eased.

A simple question to all.  Can you remember any recent races where the bots were wrong and an exacta or a winner went way up in odds?  If not it’s hard to believe that they’re not PPing.  There are many skilled and well respected handicappers on this page.  When they bet they look for value.  Can anyone remember 2 horses at 6/1 running 1/2 with a 3/5 and a couple of 5/2’s off the board in a 10 horse field paying something crazy like $200 for a $2 exacta?

They can’t be right all the time……or can they?
#3
Ask the Experts / Re: Quatrocento
September 11, 2025, 11:27:41 AM
On my NYRA bets screen the odds went 7/2….5/2….4/5 with 0 MTP.  Chad had a horse (General Partner) who took some early action so given that and this horse went to 4/5 it didn’t have a good look.
#4
Ask the Experts / Quatrocento
September 10, 2025, 03:24:37 PM
I realize that I’m preaching to the choir here and I’m not red boarding but I waited all day for Quatrocento.  He was 9/2 ML, and 7/2 with less than a minute to post.  Much to my dismay he won at 4/5 and I got split for the exacta and tri.  This crap never ends.  I’m ready for a permanent sabbatical!
#5
Ask the Experts / Re: CAW's and "Special Deals"
August 30, 2025, 08:12:13 AM
Although a boycott would be the most effective way to get the point across, betting on horse racing for some is a drug of choice.  The CAW’s are stealing from people who are extremely vulnerable.  Horse racing thrived for many years because it was the only game in town.  I’ve watched it die in Illinois and IMHO the CAW’s will be the final nail in the coffin as more players realize what’s being done to them.
#6
Ask the Experts / Re: Saratoga 9 No DQ
August 08, 2025, 08:03:25 AM
It looked to me like he pulled up pretty hard on Insubordination.  I’ve seen dq’s for much less.  In NY, rubbing is racing, in Kentucky or Florida, not so much.  Thanks for the responses!
#7
Ask the Experts / Saratoga 9 No DQ
August 07, 2025, 03:03:30 PM
How did they not DQ Stars and Strides?  Clear interference with #5.
#8
Ask the Experts / Re: Xpressbet bets Issue
June 11, 2025, 11:37:08 AM
It’s working now!
#9
Ask the Experts / Re: Xpressbet bets Issue
June 11, 2025, 11:34:37 AM
Thanks Jeff
#10
Ask the Experts / Xpressbet bets Issue
June 11, 2025, 10:31:12 AM
Anyone else having issues logging into Xpressbet?
#11
Ask the Experts / Brendan Walsh Double
April 18, 2025, 02:59:46 PM
Complete form reversal on Gin Gin and Expensive Queen looked possessed running by Mystifying and Alimara.  Wow!
#12
Ask the Experts / Re: Thoughts on FD Card - Race #5
March 29, 2025, 11:14:30 AM
The TG Analysis picked the bomb on top!
#13
Ask the Experts / Re: Ghost of its Former Self
January 29, 2025, 06:00:41 AM
It was easy for them when they were the only game in town.  With the boom of casinos, slot machines popping up everywhere, and sports betting, people have choices should they choose to gamble.  From a loyal horse players perspective, they did this and continue to do this to themselves.  CAW’s and super trainers have ruined the sport.  Nothing hurts more than handicapping a horse that’s at a great price, only to get run down by a horse that looks below average but benefits from a magic potion from one of these people.  Like you’ve stated many times, “he’s the first one at the compound every morning and the last to leave” sarcastically pointing out the irony. Great post Fairmount1, I guess we’ll drink the good stuff from the bar while the ship is sinking!
#14
Ask the Experts / Re: Spirit of St. Louis
January 26, 2025, 08:40:34 AM
Saffie Joseph has special powers.
#15
Ask the Experts / Kudos to TG Analysis
January 19, 2025, 05:18:38 AM
Congrats on those huge exactas at Oaklawn and hitting the late pick 3 at Santa Anita yesterday.  Great job!