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Messages - SOUTHERN SLEW

#1
Ask the Experts / Re: ROTW
March 15, 2013, 09:19:58 PM
I would like to take this opportunity to highly commend the Thorograph team for their outstanding handicapping in last weeks San Felipe Stakes -- Grade II Santa Anita, Race 7, March 9, 2013. Your analysis of the race was excellent and it was a great opportunity to learn how to use the numbers to dissect and isolate the winner at great odds, its never easy beating the favorite in a major stake race, but what I admire best about your style of handicapping is that you always  try to find value and horses that are overlays, you seem to have the ability to always  select the horse that the track handicapper and the public overlooks.
I have learned a lot from your weekly ROTW analysis, it has help me to improve my own handicapping plus better appreciation for your sheets which I have been using for many years now.
Thanks again, I was able to hit the exacta and the triple in that race
#2
Ask the Experts / Handicapping with the Sheets
December 27, 2011, 02:53:50 PM
I have been using the sheets for several years maybe over 30 years. I would like to hear from others regarding the analysis approach they use when making a selection. From my experience the lowest number in almost 100% will point to the favorite, so basically if you handicap a  full card you will be pointed to the favorite in every race. The value bets or horses that win at 7-1 or better are never horses that have the lowest number on the sheets. The theory behind the sheets implies that the fastest horse in the race is the horse with the lowest number, but that theory is not truly accurate especially when the race is won by a horse that goes off at 19-1 because these type of horses are very ugly on paper with numbers that most would normally just eliminate.

So the question is how does one find these horses before they win when utilizing the sheets as your primary handicapping method. Obviously just betting on  the horse with the lowest number will lead to more losing bets than winning bets. One of the strongest patterns that I have seen is the 0 2 x pattern, I learned about it several years ago at one of the first seminars given by Len Ragozin at his Manhattan office, probably back in the 1980\'s. It was  and still is a very effective pattern, but it does not appear that frequently, but when it does, you can just close your eyes and bet $100 to win.

If anyone within this group has any other reliable patterns as they relate to the sheets I would love to hear from them or perhaps we can just open the floor to ideas and strategies that work best.