First time poster to the site so be gentle with me. There was a proposition in another thread that someone could go back to the archives and do the stats on the number of new tops that were run in the Derby. I went back through the last 13 years and tracked how many horses ran a new top, how many paired and how many regressed. My definition for a pair was within one point of their fastest time as a 3 year old. A top was more then one point faster then their best three year old time, and a regression was more then one point worse then their best time. I used these arbitrary numbers because to be honest it meant I could get the stats in a shorter amount of time.


   So here goes 23 horses ran new tops or about 10%. One year there were 5 new tops all other years there were 2 or less. 57 horses paired which is about 25%. And 154 horses regressed or about 66%. All percents are rounded. I did this quickly so I am not going to swear to complete accuracy.