The bad news is I\'m a fool. The good news is I\'m not alone. Think about it. You can always count on the general public to do what they did with Big Brown, make an odds on favorite of the horse who has been winning regardless of any negatives the horse may have.
     Thorograph\'s analysis of the race gave you a shot at making a big score. The fact they put it up free for all to see is commendable.
     The main difference between myself and the general public is that I am going to change. Never again will I let my visual observations lead me to believe that a horse is great. I didn\'t bet on Big Brown, but I didn\'t bet against him, either.
     What happened to me is what happened to the general public. There was over five million dollars bet on Big Brown to win.
     I am going to be waiting for the next Big Brown and I will bet against him in the future. When you do this, you are going to lose sometimes when the horse does win, but you are eventually going to get your shot at a big score when he falters.
     Being a son of the cheap stud Boundary, he had already outrun his pedigree many times. Desormeaux shouldn\'t have eased him as there were so many people watching and that didn\'t increase anyone\'s confidence in the integrity of the sport.
     Good luck to all.

Big Brown will win because he will track the leaders and save ground inside. Then he will move outside on the stretch turn and power down the stretch. Something weird will have to happen for him to lose. I think the first mile of the Belmont will go in about one minute and thirty six seconds. That will be easy for Big Brown. He will turn it on in the stretch as Desormeaux lets him have his head. Look at the first comment of his first race, \"ran away when roused\". This horse has a turn of foot. We haven\'t seen his best yet.
     Running three long races in five weeks is the downfall of many good horses. Big Brown is a \"great\" horse. He will prove it tomorrow. Good luck to all.

Hi. I think Bib Brown will win the Belmont for the following reasons. First, I want to thank Thorograph for putting up the numbers for a race like the Preakness on the Race of the Week. I have paid for TG numbers in the past and will in the future, but this was a nice gesture. Now, Big Brown. This is how I see it. Big Brown is a lightly raced horse overall. He ran a negative 4 3/4 in the Derby. For comparison, Gato Del Sol ran a positive 4 3/4 to win the Derby in 1982. Big Brown\'s sheet is the sheet of an incredible horse. To run a negative 4 3/4 in only your fourth start at a distance you have never run before is incredible. From reading posts, I see BB got a negative one in the Preakness. this is a good thing. He won the race with a number that is 3 3/4 points from his top. I know in traditional analysis of a pattern, this could be a bad sign. I am actually posting this because of a man who said he is going to bet against Big Brown. I would only bet against him if I thought he was going to break down.
     Casino Drive ran a 0 in the Peter Pan and will have more rest. He is a half to Jazil and Rags to Riches. Jazil ran a 1 1/4 to win Belmont. Rags to Riches ran a negative 1 1/2 to win the Belmont. Big Brown can run a lot faster than that. I don\'t believe we have seen BB\'s best yet.
     I hope he will run against older horses later in the year, especially Curlin. I think BB is a heck of a breeding prospect. He is not only already one of the fastest horses of all time, but jockey Kent Desormeaux said that mentally BB is a very superior horse. I guess he\'s talking about his desire to race and his demeanor. I talked to a bloodstock agent yesterday and he said BB winning the Belmont would be good for the industry as a whole. I may or may not bet, but I believe we should all be rooting for Big Brown.