Best Brisnet turf speed rating in the last 12 years

Let me rephrase the question.  With 10 older turf horses, all of which had at least 13 previous starts with a top of within 3 lengths and last race numbers of 3 3/4 lengths of each other, how does a horse with 34 previous starts win a Grade I race by over 10 lengths?

Oscar Nominated:  top 2 3/4, last race 3
Flamboyant:  top 2, last race 4
Enterprising:  top 4, last race 6 1/4
Idaho:  top 1 3/4, last race 2 1/2
Johnny Bear:  top 3, last race 3
Postulation:  top 4, last race 4
Bullards Alley:  top 3 1/2, last race 4
Messi:  top 1 1/4, last race 2 1/2
Erupt:  top 1, last race 3 1/4
Chemical Charge:  top 3 1/4, last race 3 1/4

All 10 horses in the race had run career best of 1 to a 4 on Thorograph numbers (within 3 lengths).   Bullards Alley had a prior best of a 3 1/2.   You are going to tell me that suddenly Bullards Alley is 10 lengths better then the other 9 horses.

Just doesn\'t add up to me.

I have been a long time user of Thorograph for over two decades.   Over the past few years I have focused on only Graded Stakes races on the turf as they seem to be more consistent and easier to predict.

On Sunday at Woodbine in the Grade I Pattison Canadian International Stakes Bullards Alley won by 10 3/4 lengths and paid $87.90 to win.   I could see (a small stretch) that Bullards Alley could win the race given the numbers he had in previous races, but to win over this field by over 10 lenghts is a complete joke.

What is happening to this game?   It seems to be quickly becoming a game of who can cheat the most and not get caught....

Thoughts?

RACING NEWS

California Expands Equine Drug Testing
08/18/2016 6:17 PM ET

The California Horse Racing Board has stepped up drug testing in Southern California with industry cooperation and soon things will be going really high tech with a new focus on biological markers supported by The Jockey Club.

The Del Mar Thoroughbred Club (DMTC) hired an additional examining veterinarian for the current meet, while the CHRB appointed a second official veterinarian, which have allowed for increased out-of-competition drug testing – an increasingly important strategy for detecting substances and practices not easily identified through traditional post-race screening.

CHRB Executive Director Rick Baedeker said the increased drug testing will continue indefinitely.

The Ken Maddy Laboratory at UC Davis is critical to this effort, as it is considered the preeminent facility of its kind and administers the testing for horses participating at Del Mar, Santa Anita, and all other racetracks in the state.

Research is a key component of the Maddy Laboratory\'s commitment to equine health and safety, and now the lab is breaking new ground by beginning development of the Athlete Biological Passport (ABP).

All current drug testing in California horse racing involves the collection of samples, mostly blood and urine, and running them through highly sophisticated equipment to detect unauthorized substances. But there is another way – some would say the way of the future. The fundamental principle of the ABP is to monitor selected biological variables over time that indirectly reveal the effects of doping rather than attempting to detect the doping substance or method itself.

In other words, the lab creates a biological record (ABP) of an individual athlete and then looks for changes outside of normal values. The changes can involve a number of biological processes, including changes in proteins, genes, and small molecules. Monitoring of these biomarkers could signal that a doping agent had been administered to the athlete.

The California Animal Health and Food Safety Laboratory System and the UC Davis School of Veterinary Medicine recently appointed a second faculty chemist at the Maddy Laboratory to lead their development of methods to combat emerging threats in horse racing, such as anabolic steroids and gene doping. Dr. Benjamin Moeller, an expert in biomarkers with a PhD focused on equine anabolic steroids, will develop the infrastructure to maintain an equine ABP program. This program received a boost Thursday when The Jockey Club confirmed it would help fund it with grants of $50,000 a year for at least two years.

"We owe it to the public as well as the vast majority of trainers and veterinarians who play by the rules to keep our testing vigilant and state-of-the-art," said Baedeker. "So, we have doubled the number of out-of-competition tests at Del Mar this season and we are working with UC Davis to pursue the latest technologies for testing."

Joe Harper, president of the Del Mar Thoroughbred Club, said California has long been recognized as having the premier medication testing program in the country.

"It is very important to me and the rest of Del Mar\'s Board of Directors that we maintain this standard and continue to embrace the most up-to-date science available," he added. "It\'s of the utmost importance that our sport has a level playing field with the safest possible environment for our horses and riders."

Hello.  I am a long time Thorograph user and first time poster.  I found it very interesting today that Shared Belief went off at such low odds.  I compared this years pools to last years race:

WPS:
2013: $1,185,082
2014: $1,508,601

Exacta:
2013: $607,767
2014: $586,179

Quinella:
2013: $25,668
2014: $22,235

Trifecta:
2013: $425,610
2014: $459,691

Daily Double:
2013:  $64,767
2014:  $150,858

It is coincidental that the win payoff and daily double payoffs were so low with both pools being abnormally high with action?

Thanks in advance and good luck to all!