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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: Tavasco on June 24, 2015, 02:17:56 AM

Title: Belmont Pick 6 Collaboration
Post by: Tavasco on June 24, 2015, 02:17:56 AM
I\'d like to take the first leg i.e. 4th race.

# 6 Mission Driven
#13 Private Relations
Title: Re: Belmont Pick 6 Collaboration
Post by: SoCalMan2 on June 24, 2015, 07:15:34 AM
Tavasco Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> I\'d like to take the first leg i.e. 4th race.
>
> # 6 Mission Driven
> #13 Private Relations


That race seems volatile to me.  Mission drive looks solid, but you have to worry about Rosario screwing things up.  Private Relations gives me mixed signals.  You do have a horse who raced credibly against tougher getting class relief, but there are others in the race in that same boat.  He doesn\'t look that much faster than these and he has 124 pounds and an outside post to contend with.  Could he be there, sure, but he will be no bargain.

For me, I like the inside and the outside.  Key to the Bridge has the rail and low weight and is also getting class relief.  Lightly raced with excuses, should definitely improve, only question is how much....weight and rail help.  The outside horse, Veya, another of the ones in here seeking class relief, has very solid number power.  Also, if you take the view that 1 mile is this guy\'s sweet spot and throw out his 9 furlong and 11 furlong tries, then he all of a sudden looks a lot better (of course, he still needs to get in the race and get over a bad post).
Title: Re: Belmont Pick 6 Collaboration
Post by: Tavasco on June 24, 2015, 12:03:09 PM
My early morning/late night  idea went over like a lead balloon. Oh well, now even my confidence in my picks is beginning to shake. Veya has scratched but I had overlooked CatManCan and now I think he must be included. Maybe our own David Duggan could comment.

Thanks for pointing out and reminding me of Rosario\'s turf uncertainty I was focused on the horse and taken with its last race. Blinded by the light so to speak. The rail horse is taking action but that KEE race scared my off.

Good Luck all!
Title: Re: Belmont Pick 6 Collaboration
Post by: SoCalMan2 on June 24, 2015, 12:13:31 PM
Tavasco Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> My early morning/late night  idea went over like a
> lead balloon. Oh well, now even my confidence in
> my picks is beginning to shake. Veya has scratched
> but I had overlooked CatManCan and now I think he
> must be included. Maybe our own David Duggan could
> comment.
>
> Thanks for pointing out and reminding me of
> Rosario\'s turf uncertainty I was focused on the
> horse and taken with its last race. Blinded by the
> light so to speak. The rail horse is taking action
> but that KEE race scared my off.
>
> Good Luck all!

Apologies for the bum steer on Rosario.  Hope I didn\'t hurt you.
Title: Re: Belmont Pick 6 Collaboration
Post by: Tavasco on June 24, 2015, 12:19:48 PM
No Problem, curious to see who claims him if any?
Title: Re: Belmont Pick 6 Collaboration
Post by: shanahan on June 24, 2015, 12:52:38 PM
race 6

going 3 deep 1 2 6