Ask the Experts

General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: phil23 on June 02, 2015, 07:22:24 PM

Title: Probably reaching here but....
Post by: phil23 on June 02, 2015, 07:22:24 PM
Dame Dorothy last week and today, Stopchargingmaria, both out of the Phipps. No runner in the Met despite a plethora of options (CE, Liam\'s Map, Protonico, etc...). Those two plus the Manhattan are (as million dollar grade one\'s) part of the enhanced testing.  Granted has two in Manhattan (that is turf though).

Like I said, likely a reach, maybe.

Was going to add that Belmont results lately don\'t exactly help my hypothesis here but you know, if you actually go and look at all his runners (not just PM or the Commish), while nothing like as poor as derby (obviously), they\'re not really any better than his regular, which granted is pretty stellar so just matching his regular could be construed as running quite well.

His current career #\'s: 17% tops, 31% pair, 27% Off, 25% X.  So 48% of the time he gets at least a pair.

Whereas his last 4 years of Belmont results, from 9 runners (I believe basically what encompasses the enhanced testing): 22%, 22%, 22%, 33%. So 44% of the time at least a pair. Given sample size of latter can easily call this a wash, so no worse but also no better.

Maybe I am reaching too far here. And lord knows horses are delicate and can certainly come up with issues at the last minute.  Still...
Title: Re: Probably reaching here but....
Post by: TGJB on June 02, 2015, 07:28:21 PM
Where did you see Stopcharging out?
Title: Re: Probably reaching here but....
Post by: phil23 on June 02, 2015, 07:33:18 PM
A freelancer from blood horse, Karen M. Johnson, mentioned it on her twitter feed earlier. Should say have also not heard this confirmed from anywhere else (like DRF) as of yet.

https://twitter.com/KMJ575757
Title: Re: Probably reaching here but....
Post by: Focus959 on June 02, 2015, 07:34:38 PM
Elevated temperature today per a Dave Grening retweet- she\'s out.
Title: Re: Probably reaching here but....
Post by: magicnight on June 02, 2015, 07:35:41 PM
This afternoon. Elevated temperature. Grening retweeted a Karen Johnson tweet basically quoting Pletcher.

Edit: at least I got the show spot!
Title: Re: Probably reaching here but....
Post by: SoCalMan2 on June 02, 2015, 08:08:14 PM
phil23 Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> A freelancer from blood horse, Karen M. Johnson,
> mentioned it on her twitter feed earlier. Should
> say have also not heard this confirmed from
> anywhere else (like DRF) as of yet.
>
> https://twitter.com/KMJ575757

Am fairly certain Karen Johnson is P.G. Johnson\'s daughter.  Likely has more street creds than a random freelancer.
Title: Re: Probably reaching here but....
Post by: Boscar Obarra on June 02, 2015, 08:34:07 PM
Was going to chime in, but yes, that\'s her.

@KMJ575757
Title: Re: Probably reaching here but....
Post by: TGJB on June 02, 2015, 08:58:11 PM
And... where does it say testing protocols are different for those races?
Title: Re: Probably reaching here but....
Post by: phil23 on June 02, 2015, 09:15:05 PM
http://www.gaming.ny.gov/pdf/03.24.15.WoodMemorialProtocols.pdf