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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: MO on April 26, 2004, 04:54:25 PM

Title: Limit the field to 14
Post by: MO on April 26, 2004, 04:54:25 PM
So many players are talking about how much money it will cost them to \"spread\" on a 20 horse Derby field.

THE DERBY SHOULD BE RUN LIKE EVERY OTHER RACE, (IMO) with only 14 starters. That would solve a lot a \"Betting\" problems.

Starters from The auxilary gate have a horrible win percentage and a negative ROI.

Every year, many trainers complain that there are \"horses who don\'t belong\" and that this makes for a crowded and potentially dangerous field. I agree.

I also think that it is also the INTENTION of Churchill to overload the field strictly for THEIR OWN FINANCIAL benefit. More horses, more drunk sucker bets, more difficulty for a sharp player to make a decent profit if he has to spread.

I retired from pro handicapping 2 years ago, but always have a look at the Triple Crown and BC. I won\'t be spreading this year as Lion Heart will gallop in this years Derby and he WILL NOT pay more than $10.60 to win.
Title: Re: Limit the field to 14
Post by: derby1592 on April 26, 2004, 08:17:33 PM
As a bettor, I would love to see a lot more 20 horse fields rather than eliminate the only one we get to bet on in the USA.

It sure beats the 6 horse fields you often see in California.

Now if I owned the favorite in the Derby I might have a different opinion...

Chris
Title: Re: Limit the field to 14
Post by: jbelfior on April 26, 2004, 08:58:19 PM
MO--

Why will he gallop?? He\'s lost 2 races in which he blew a lead on 2 racetracks whose profile favors speed/pressers. My hat\'s off to him (and you) if he can wire a 20 horse field at CD.


Good Luck,
Joe B.

Title: Re: Limit the field to 14
Post by: Chuckles_the_Clown2 on April 26, 2004, 09:36:58 PM
ABSOLUTELY 100% CORRECT CHRIS!!!!

The bigger the field the better the payoffs. The favorites could run 1-2-3 in this race (They won\'t) and you\'d have a juicy trifecta.

Now if you\'re on Lion Heart as your winner do you really want him in the one or 20 hole?  I don\'t think so. I don\'t think so at all, but guess what?

Chuckles say....

sssssssss \"lionheart...\"

and

\"remember brancusi\"

http://www.kentuckyderby.com/2003/derby_history/derby_charts/years/2003.html



Post Edited (04-27-04 00:53)