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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: pres711 on May 01, 2015, 09:02:26 AM

Title: Track conditions
Post by: pres711 on May 01, 2015, 09:02:26 AM
Any evidence of bias at CD this week, today?  Hoping for a fair track tomorrow.
Title: Re: Track conditions
Post by: sekrah on May 01, 2015, 09:12:41 AM
Looks slightly slow.  Jockeys seem afraid to goto the front in the first two dirt races.  Next race will tell us something, there\'s some good early speed in there.
Title: Re: Track conditions
Post by: sekrah on May 01, 2015, 09:50:18 AM
Nobody has done anything on the rail.  3-4 path looks like the place to be.
Title: Re: Track conditions
Post by: TGJB on May 01, 2015, 09:55:06 AM
It\'s at least suspect. And if it really is bad it has huge ramifications for both the Oaks and the Derby.
Title: Re: Track conditions
Post by: pres711 on May 01, 2015, 10:11:22 AM
Bears watching closely, thanks
Title: Re: Track conditions
Post by: TGJB on May 01, 2015, 10:13:04 AM
The 7th and 8th both have a lot of contenders drawn inside, could tell us a lot.
Title: Re: Track conditions
Post by: HP on May 01, 2015, 10:46:19 AM
Would you say they could change a lot in the two hour break before the Derby?  Couldn\'t you could watch very closely and end up changing your bets and blow it?
Title: Re: Track conditions
Post by: TGJB on May 01, 2015, 11:04:22 AM
You could blow it either way.
Title: Re: Track conditions
Post by: HP on May 01, 2015, 11:05:52 AM
I should have stuck with stamp collecting.
Title: Re: Track conditions
Post by: sekrah on May 01, 2015, 11:12:24 AM
Welp, Molly Morgan just erased that.

I had her because I thought Lanerie would be the one sharp enough to realize where to sit.  I said, OH NO, when I seen she kind of had to settle for the 1-2.

Lanes look fair.. I still wouldn\'t want to be winging it on the front end though.
Title: Re: Track conditions
Post by: TGJB on May 01, 2015, 11:17:10 AM
As it turned out, if Tiz Windy stayed inside she would have won.
Title: Re: Track conditions
Post by: eljayar52 on May 01, 2015, 11:21:31 AM
yup. what would you say that cost her. 3 lengths?
Title: Re: Track conditions
Post by: miff on May 01, 2015, 11:24:16 AM
Should have been 2nd, hung like a chandelier.
Title: Re: Track conditions
Post by: billk5300s on May 01, 2015, 12:11:45 PM
Looks like the rail is good and you need to be close.
Title: Re: Track conditions
Post by: miff on May 01, 2015, 12:15:34 PM
Weird track, speed not carrying at all so far.
Title: Re: Track conditions
Post by: sekrah on May 01, 2015, 12:22:58 PM
If it looks weird, it\'s probably fair.
Title: Re: Track conditions
Post by: miff on May 01, 2015, 12:34:12 PM
Can\'t call it honest when uncontested speed is getting run over.
Title: Re: Track conditions
Post by: sekrah on May 01, 2015, 12:57:28 PM
Uncontested speed winning every race is honest?

This looks like a fair track for all styles. This is how all tracks should be.
Title: Re: Track conditions
Post by: Tavasco on May 01, 2015, 01:48:34 PM
Hasn\'t seemed to discourage BB\'s fans. Then again they don\'t see speed fail very often in L.A.
Title: Re: Track conditions
Post by: Dark Bay on May 01, 2015, 02:39:30 PM
Virtually all dirt winners had something in common:  They had won or run some of their best races at CD.   Liking CD is an advantage, irrespective of bias or post.

Follow that profile for the Oaks and Birdatthewire looks really tough.   Watch the 1,2,10 at big prices.
Title: Re: Track conditions
Post by: johnnym on May 01, 2015, 04:02:54 PM
Hope that carries tomorrow for the Derby