Has looked SUPER in is last two Works. A previous mile in 1:38 and today a strong 59 with a solid gallop out in 1:12.
The fact he is questionable at the distance will get a better price on a horse who is probably the fast in the race and may be saving ground. Gonna be hard to ignore at maybe 3rd or 4th choice....
Yup.
In other Twitter items from Arcadia, Untapable was described as a \"powder keg\", but still had a nice relaxed 4f work.
Thanks for the input and I would like to think we can spend the next week with handicapping discussions and not THE DEATH OF RACING or CLUELESS NYRA CLOWNS strings.
I am curious if anyone sees how Undrafted is doing. He came home full of run in the CD Sprint and race Welker said was a tad short for him. He was a STONE COLD LOCK in the Belmont Day Sprint. And the last one off rest could be a good setup for a fresh powerful effort.
The Turf Sprint at SA is always a very fun race. In the past having experience over the course has always seemed to be an important factor. Undrafted and another who figures to get bet - No Nay Never - have never run on the SA downhill but they both have run well over undulating ground overseas (and at KD for Un). Tough race!
Magic he might be overbet some but I will add this. Last year they tried routes and all kinds of things with this horse. This year they focused on Sprints an eventually Grass Sprints. He is not an over raced 4YO who could be ready to pop one. Based on his #\'s he needs to a little!!
Tightened touchdown looks intriguing....looks ready to get back to his top which with a decent post/trip could win this.
I think of Tightend Touchdown as a 5F specialist because of his ridiculous quickness. Forgetting he was 2nd last year in this very race @ 18/1 when the crowd and I apparently overlooked him as a 5F specialist!
He seems to have developed some diversity in his running style over the last year. But the paucity of races adds some fitness questions. So getting a good price looms likely. Servis has a positive ROI in the 45-90 days away category with a healthy strike rate.
Like you said he is fast enough on his best. Lots to like for those without myopia.
Silver Charm Wrote:
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> Has looked SUPER in is last two Works. A previous
> mile in 1:38 and today a strong 59 with a solid
> gallop out in 1:12.
>
> The fact he is questionable at the distance will
> get a better price on a horse who is probably the
> fast in the race and may be saving ground. Gonna
> be hard to ignore at maybe 3rd or 4th choice....
Bayern drew outside of Moreno -- two need to lead types. Neither horse has shown any ability/desire to pass another horse. (Just like Game On Dude). Big Cazanova (the other need to lead horse) is an AE.
I posted that message about Illinois racing because I thought it may be of interest to anyone who enjoys the sport and may want to chime in on the discussion. The BC is a few days a way and workouts are great to talk about but isn\'t this board for all topics of interest?
Silver Charm Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Thanks for the input and I would like to think we
> can spend the next week with handicapping
> discussions and not THE DEATH OF RACING or
> CLUELESS NYRA CLOWNS strings.
Hear, hear Silver. This is no time for nattering nabobs of negativism (unless of
course we are talking about negative TG #s!).
A brief look at Friday\'s races:
Juvie Turf: My best bet of the Friday BC races is Commemorative, for the
Juddmonte folks. One of the few Euros in the Juvie turf events who has raced at a
mile or beyond, winning a G3 at Newmarket in his last. Wesley Ward has a
formidable pair in Hootenanny and Luck of the Kitten, both training at Keeneland,
which suffered surprising declines in attendance and all sources handle after
switching from synthetic to dirt.
Juvie Fillies: Many folks whose opinion I trust have extolled the virtues of Chad
Brown\'s Lady Eli, last seen winning the Miss Grillo at Belmont, where the
attendance at the Fall meet was just embarrassing, we\'re talking less than 2000
souls on most weekdays and less than 5000 on most weekend days. Even the crash
dummies entrusted with the future of this storied franchise have stopped talking
about live gate and customer experience; they are waking up and improving their
website and the HD feed. The day of racing I watched at Woodbine on October 19
left me reason to believe Euros will prevail in the Juvie turf races, as they
have in the last 2 years.
Dirt Mile: previously discussed. Goldencents, trained by Leonard Mora, subbing
for habitual offender Doug O\'Neill, looks a solid favorite. Also liking Tapiture
and Carve, though neither has any SA experience.
BC Distaff: Favored Untapable and Close Hatches both drew outside. Those who
think Close Hatches will improve off a lackluster final prep should look at Royal
Delta\'s last two races last year. I think Untapable, trained by Steve Asmussen,
the victim of an inside hatchet job by some of racing\'s bluebloods, might come up
a little short at the eighth pole after a demanding albeit brilliant campaign.
Dont Tell Sophia has never run outside the midwest time zone and gets a true test
here. Liking Iotapa, who likes SA, and Belle Gallantey, who won over SA in a
previous life as a humble claimer way back when.