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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: dodie on September 04, 2014, 08:16:04 AM

Title: Arlington Thursday race 8
Post by: dodie on September 04, 2014, 08:16:04 AM
OK boys, Delmar and \'toga are over.  Let\'s do a little pre-weekend \'cappin\' and see what we come up with.  I got da sheets for the 8th at AP, a \'lil starter allowance on the toif atta mile.  Bottom line:

8 Hapman is a 9yo last out winner 3rd off a layoff for Charles Livesy, 23 26 39 8.04 the last 90 days.  Dats hittin\'@ 26% with 23 starters for an ROI of 8!!!  Dude is hittin\' only 9% 3rd LO, but @ 6/1 I\'ll take my shot.  horse has run 3 off top and 1 off top, but I\'m hopin\' he\'ll once again mow \'em down in da stretch. There\'s a little speed signed up widda 4,7,10 11, 12, so I hope da pace is there.
 
6 Dynamic Royal, 7/2 ML is the most likely winner, but at the prices I\'m gonna take a shot with \'Hap.  Me & Dynamic Royal have a bit of history.  Specifically, going into the Breeder\'s Cup Betting Challenge monthly final on 25 May.  Top 6 get entries into the bettin\' challenge at SA, and I\'m actually in the runnin\' after hittn\' with 3/1 shot Natalie Victoria in the 11th at Mth.  I figure I need about $20 to make it in the top 6.  My prime play at AP in the 8th and final race contest is 3/1; not enough.  I\'m playin\' at the racebook at Green Valley and I hop on the trusty Iphone, change my bet to my 3rd choice Dynamic Royal who\'s sittin\' at 6/1, and hope for the best.  Israel saves all the ground, weaves between horses, and gets up for a one length victory.  Check out the results at bcqulify.com for 25 May.  I\'m John D. from Henderson, NV.  I actually finished 5th.

Round out your exotics with the 1,3,2,4,5, in that order of preference.

Using BRIS PP\'s, here are my other picks:
*R1:  key the 1 in multi races; save a \'lil widda 3.
R2: 3 2 6 5 not a good bettin\' race
*R3: key the 6 then 4 in multi races.  Fill ur exotics out with the  3 then 5.
R4:  5 4 over the 7 3.  not a good betting race.
R5: 5 2 1 4 ; not a good betting race.
*R6:  4 3 9 2 1; focus on the 3 @ 20/1 ML and da 9 @ 15/1 ML and da 4 @ 8/1 ML fur shizzle.
R7: 1 2 5 7; bottom of exotics- 6 3 4.  Wager at your bankroll\'s peril.
R8:  8 6; 1 3 2 4 5 in ur exotics
R9: 1 8 2 5 7; toss the 6 in the bottm of ur exotics; BET AGAINST DA 3!

Any board guys gonna be at the bettin\' challenge?  You makin\' the trip, JB?  What kinda sweet deal you gonna give us on the sheets for BC? ;-)

Do die
Title: Re: Arlington Thursday race 8
Post by: TGJB on September 04, 2014, 08:45:27 AM
I will probably go to BC and play in the contest, don\'t remember if we had a deal last year or not.
Title: Re: Arlington Thursday race 8
Post by: dodie on September 04, 2014, 09:06:31 AM
Being the coward that I am, I\'m going to play it with a goal of making it to the top 15 to get to the championship in January.  I figure I just need to a bit better than triple my $7.5 bankroll to guarantee a spot.  I know you like these live bankroll contests better than the win-place capped approach to the championship in Vegas.
Title: Re: Arlington Thursday race 8
Post by: moosepalm on September 04, 2014, 01:20:22 PM
TGJB Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> I will probably go to BC and play in the contest,
> don\'t remember if we had a deal last year or not.


The far more interesting question is whether you\'ll be getting a deal or not.
Title: Re: Arlington Thursday race 8
Post by: Rick B. on September 04, 2014, 02:49:56 PM
moosepalm Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> The far more interesting question is whether
> you\'ll be getting a deal or not.

Jerry has given away thousands of dollars of free
product for other contests, and paid the shipping
costs, too, which ain\'t cheap via next day air with
all that weight.

The last deal made much more sense: free product, but
if you insist on hard copy, YOU pay for the shipping.

It\'s 2014, folks. Go paperless.
Title: Re: Arlington Thursday race 8
Post by: TGAB on September 04, 2014, 03:00:43 PM
Good call on Hapman--$10, not bad.
Title: Re: Arlington Thursday race 8
Post by: RICH on September 04, 2014, 04:42:08 PM
its 2014, we are all entitled !!
Title: Re: Arlington Thursday race 8
Post by: Bet Twice on September 04, 2014, 06:52:06 PM
Good call but da grammar was painful to read....;)
Title: Re: Arlington Thursday race 8
Post by: dodie on September 05, 2014, 04:21:08 AM
Thanks Alan.
Title: Re: Arlington Thursday race 8
Post by: moosepalm on September 05, 2014, 04:52:00 AM
Rick B. Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> moosepalm Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > The far more interesting question is whether
> > you\'ll be getting a deal or not.
>
> Jerry has given away thousands of dollars of free
> product for other contests, and paid the shipping
> costs, too, which ain\'t cheap via next day air
> with
> all that weight.
>
> The last deal made much more sense: free product,
> but
> if you insist on hard copy, YOU pay for the
> shipping.
>
> It\'s 2014, folks. Go paperless.

That wasn\'t what I was discussing.  This \"deal\" has nothing directly to do with Thorograph.
Title: Re: Arlington Thursday race 8
Post by: dodie on September 05, 2014, 04:54:56 AM
My attempt at humor to get a little response.  I\'ll use proper English from here on out.
Do Die
Title: Re: Arlington Thursday race 8
Post by: Rick B. on September 05, 2014, 08:38:09 AM
moosepalm Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> That wasn\'t what I was discussing.  This \"deal\"
> has nothing directly to do with Thorograph.

Ah, then, thanks for almost making what you are
discussing seem less obscure.
Title: Re: Arlington Thursday race 8
Post by: TGJB on September 05, 2014, 09:38:08 AM
He\'s talking about the BC compensating me for inventing a contest which now handles 2.4M annually, and which I have received nothing for to date. Talks recently resumed on that subject.

On a related note. I heard a rumor another very big contest is in the works. It\'s something I proposed at the same time as the BC contest, but it\'s different people and as far as I know they came up with the format independently. Very TV friendly.
Title: Re: Arlington Thursday race 8
Post by: Rick B. on September 05, 2014, 10:48:07 AM
TGJB Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> He\'s talking about the BC compensating me for
> inventing a contest which now handles 2.4M
> annually, and which I have received nothing for to
> date. Talks recently resumed on that subject.

Got it.

Steer clear of the Kentucky court system this time, you
might actually get a fair shake.
Title: Re: Arlington Thursday race 8
Post by: TGJB on September 05, 2014, 11:50:40 AM
You\'re an optimist. But at least I figure to come out of this net plus.
Title: Re: Arlington Thursday race 8
Post by: moosepalm on September 05, 2014, 12:35:12 PM
Rick B. Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> moosepalm Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----

>
> Ah, then, thanks for almost making what you are
> discussing seem less obscure.


As I assume you can now deduce, it wasn\'t my call to put that out in public, but it was there on the tee if JB wanted a crack at it.
Title: Re: Arlington Thursday race 8
Post by: Rick B. on September 05, 2014, 02:13:42 PM
moosepalm Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> As I assume you can now deduce, it wasn\'t my call
> to put that out in public, but it was there on the
> tee if JB wanted a crack at it.

Yes. Of course I now applaud your discretion, just
as I would hope you would excuse my snide comment.
Title: Re: Arlington Thursday race 8
Post by: moosepalm on September 05, 2014, 05:48:47 PM
Rick B. Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> moosepalm Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > As I assume you can now deduce, it wasn\'t my
> call
> > to put that out in public, but it was there on
> the
> > tee if JB wanted a crack at it.
>
> Yes. Of course I now applaud your discretion,
> just
> as I would hope you would excuse my snide comment.

Not a problem.  I know it looked like I was trying to be cute.
Title: Re: Arlington Thursday race 8
Post by: BenevolentDictator on September 06, 2014, 06:25:53 AM
I remember your reply to me two years ago was \"You are in a $10,000 buy-in tournament and you are concerned about $50 worth a data.\"
Title: Re: Arlington Thursday race 8
Post by: TGJB on September 06, 2014, 08:53:40 AM
Yeah, I crack me up.