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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: TGJB on August 14, 2014, 10:25:46 AM

Title: Here's the problem.
Post by: TGJB on August 14, 2014, 10:25:46 AM
Attached are sheets of three horses that showed large and unusual improvement since the beginning of June. The timing is significant because that\'s when nasal strips became legal in NY.

Now, I have no idea whether nasal strips figured into what happened with these three, or even whether they were wearing them. That\'s the problem.

But as you look at these sheets-- especially the two older dirt horses-- think about the following questions:

Is there any way you could have played them to make that big jump in June just handicapping, with no other info?

AFTER they made the jump, is there any way you could not play them to bounce-- let alone go forward AGAIN, as they did in two cases?

I\'m out the door heading to Saratoga, you guys can talk this out without me.
Title: Re: Here's the problem.
Post by: jerry on August 14, 2014, 11:53:13 AM
Maybe. How about pressing for it to be listed as equipment same as blinkers and front wraps?
Title: Re: Here's the problem.
Post by: chuckb63 on August 14, 2014, 02:41:07 PM
I believe TGAB did the analysis for Monday and had Miss Frost as his BB..
Title: Re: Here's the problem.
Post by: TGAB on August 14, 2014, 04:36:33 PM
That was Greg who also had So Cal on Sunday.
Title: Re: Here's the problem.
Post by: Rick B. on August 14, 2014, 06:37:12 PM
To my less-experienced-than-all-of-you-TG-wizards eyes,
Miss Frost doesn\'t belong in this discussion; her sheet
looks like that of a late but otherwise naturally
developing 3 YO filly.

Lightly raced, nice spacing, paired tops...might be some
more improvement coming for Miss Frost.

The idea that there must be some sort of handicapping
tool or clue that such development is coming in a young
horse is a bit of a reach IMO. Maybe we can see it coming
if rather familiar patterns emerge, but for every horse?
Let\'s not torture ourselves. We simply don\'t know everything.

On the other two: the Schosberg horse is a jump up, no
quibble there, and the Quarterolo horse could be a jump
up or it could be another late developer. I will let the
more experienced TG\'er slice and dice these.
Title: Seminar??
Post by: Deadrockstar on August 14, 2014, 06:55:34 PM
Behind the BBQ place on Sat.?
Title: Re: Seminar??
Post by: TGJB on August 14, 2014, 08:26:42 PM
Yes.