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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: ajkreider on June 04, 2014, 08:47:58 AM

Title: Belmont Draw
Post by: ajkreider on June 04, 2014, 08:47:58 AM
Belmont Stakes
1. Medal Count, R. Albarado, 20-1
2. California Chrome, V. Espinoza, 3-5
3. Matterhorn, J. Bravo, 30-1
4. Commanding Curve, S. Bridgmohan, 15-1
5. Ride On Curlin, J. Velazquez, 12-1
6. Matuszak, M. Smith, 30-1
7. Samraat, J. Ortiz, 20-1
8. Commissioner, J. Castellano, 20-1
9. Wicked Strong, R. Maragh, 6-1
10. General a Rod, R. Napravnik, 20-1
11. Tonalist, J. Rosario, 8-1
Title: Re: Belmont Draw
Post by: louisvilleguy1111 on June 04, 2014, 09:12:40 AM
Down on the inside is not the best place to be I wouldn\'t think for Chrome but hoping he does what most have been waiting 36 years for a 12 Triple Crown Winner!!
Title: Re: Belmont Draw
Post by: P-Dub on June 04, 2014, 11:11:41 AM
I don\'t think its that bad.

Most of the speed is drawn outside. He has won on the lead, and if he breaks well enough Espinoza can establish position.  Wouldn\'t be surprised if he floats CC out slightly on the first turn to push the speed further outside and keep from perhaps being pinned down inside.

If he had another speed horse inside, and a couple closer to his right then maybe that would be a problem. He\'s not the best gate horse, so getting out is key also.

If he can get a lead without being hounded, he\'ll be tough to catch.
Title: Re: Belmont Draw
Post by: johnnym on June 04, 2014, 11:15:44 AM
Do not be surprised if he wires the field.
Title: Re: Belmont Draw
Post by: ajkreider on June 04, 2014, 12:27:16 PM
Wouldn\'t shock me at all.  In fact, given the obvious lack of pace, I wouldn\'t be surprised if none of the closers hits the super - some combination of Chrome, Wicked, Samraat, Tonalist, and Arod.