Not sure why people like this horse. FOY clearly starched this guy and IMO his chances of running back to that number on 2 weeks rest are slim and none. Castellano a great rider,not a miracle worker.
ROW, Ria, ROC are too slow. If Bayern was trained by Manny Azpurua no one would be overrating him the way we are now. TG and pace numbers do not match up here. DI prefers to be outside and would need a contentious pace and perfect trip in order to get involved late.
Good Luck,
Joe B
Many if not most Joe tossed the \"general\" on distance limitations yet to even the most naïve of handicappers, the colt will run all day.
Now, here, lately, the issue of class comes up and the populace discards it like a wet paper towel, yet many tracks actually employ a condition book.
Lately, spacing has dominated the headlines and there has been much posting, none of it relevant, material, or well thought out.
This is the best \'capping forum on the planet, yet some of the theories, tenets and statistics presented do not pass muster.
bbb
bellsbendboy Wrote:
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> Now, here, lately, the issue of class comes up and
> the populace discards it like a wet paper towel,
> yet many tracks actually employ a condition book.
Condition books establish race eligibility, not
class. If Zenyatta were to show up in a $10K
claimer this afternoon, would that be her new
\"class\" level? (The horse that wasn\'t competitive
for $5K and is now entered alongside Zenyatta is
not a $10K claimer, either.)
> This is the best \'capping forum on the planet, yet
> some of the theories, tenets and statistics
> presented do not pass muster.
Not when compared to conventional thinking, no.
You were nicer about that condition book crack than I would have been. There may be nobody who reads one better than I do. They have a lot to do with placing horses horses and very little to do with handicapping.