TGJB -
Am I correct that he did not fit the pattern (I think it\'s pair-pair) that your studies show is favored in the Derby?
Do you really think he was 4-wide on the second turn in the Louisiana Derby? I\'m only looking at the pan shot, but it looks to me like he\'s 1- or 2- wide for the first half of the turn, and then 3-wide for the remainder. He\'s clearly no more than 3-wide (two horses pinned inside him) turning for home.