80501 CALIFORNIA CHROME +305
80502 CONSTITUTION +1019
80503 CAIRO PRINCE +1019
80504 HOPPERTUNITY +1019
80505 WICKED STRONG +1215
80506 DANZA +1415
80507 RIDE ON CURLIN +2251
80508 DANCE WITH FATE +4050
80509 TAPITURE +2851
80510 CANDY BOY +3084
80511 INTENSE HOLIDAY +2551
80512 SAMRAAT +2251
80513 VICARS IN TROUBLE +2830
80514 CHITU +3251
80515 GENERAL A ROD +2574
80516 WILDCAT RED +3251
80517 WE MISS ARTIE +4250
80518 MEDAL COUNT +4550
80519 MIDNIGHT HAWK +6550
80520 RING WEEKEND +6550
80521 ANY OTHER 3 YEAR OLD +1215
Surpised by CP and Hoppers odds there. Joint second choices with Constitution despite losing their preps fairly comprehensively. Surprised Arod that much lower than Wildcat Red. Vicar definately a longer shot than I would have thought.
If I had to pick a value play from that list it would be Candy Boy - hoping he just needed a race, and Intense Holiday.
Looks like a pretty good betting line to me. Hard to argue.
Danza at 14-1 seems low, but other than that nothing seems crazy.
Chitu hasn\'t done anything wrong other than lose a close decision to a perfect trip closer on a track that played against speed that day. Can\'t say I love his chances to win at 1 1/4 but 32-1 on a horse that won well at 1 1/8 and has no bad races seems like a reasonable play.
Many of the other long shots have bigger questions. Candy buy was horrific last race. Tapiture almost as bad.
I am not a vicars in trouble fan but he is another who won at 1 1/8 and hasn\'t had s really poor race. (Didn\'t like his race 2 back but it wasn\'t awful)
You are correct about Arod and Wildcat. When they originally opened the odds (last Thursday) Arod was 45-1 and Wildcat was 40-1. Both have been bet down.
Vicar open at 33 to 1.
Probability Sums to 1.16 so these odds seem realistic. They are taking up to a $1000 wager.
80501 CALIFORNIA CHROME +285
80503 CAIRO PRINCE +825
80504 HOPPERTUNITY +825
80505 WICKED STRONG +1015
80506 DANZA +1215
80507 RIDE ON CURLIN +1615
80508 DANCE WITH FATE +4050
80509 TAPITURE +2851
80510 CANDY BOY +3084
80511 INTENSE HOLIDAY +2551
80512 SAMRAAT +2250
80513 VICARS IN TROUBLE +2830
80514 CHITU +3251
80515 GENERAL A ROD +2574
80516 WILDCAT RED +3251
80517 WE MISS ARTIE +4250
80518 MEDAL COUNT +4550
80519 MIDNIGHT HAWK +8550
80520 RING WEEKEND +6550
80521 ANY OTHER 3 YEAR OLD +1015
California Chrome not to win derby -385
Midnight Hawk, Wicked Strong, and We Miss Artie not to win derby -1025
Small Bets
General A Rod +4500
Intense Holiday +3100
Samraat +3000
Medium Bet
Wildcat Red +4000
Big Bet
Vicars in Trouble +3000