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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: wipitoga on August 27, 2013, 11:14:45 AM

Title: is there a number for Commissioner 1st race @ Saratoga Wednesday?
Post by: wipitoga on August 27, 2013, 11:14:45 AM
His August 11th race at MTH has no number, do you have fig for him?
Title: Re: is there a number for Commissioner 1st race @ Saratoga Wednesday?
Post by: TGJB on August 27, 2013, 11:31:04 AM
Any time there\'s a box more than a week old it\'s because we weren\'t able to do a figure for the race that would be more than a guess, and those that do have one are using averages and extrapolating. This one is a pretty good example-- the variant for the two turn races was all over the place (which happens often at Mth and other tracks near the ocean). The route two races earlier was plus 2, the one two races later was minus almost 4. The race in question could have been anywhere in between, and with lightly raced maidens there wasn\'t enough info to tell.

If you want a guess you can use 11, but keep in mind it\'s plus or minus 3ish. Once a few have run back we\'ll review.