Make it a point not to even look at the race until post position draws and with good reason..Vyjack is dead on the outside and GoldenCents draws inside of falling sky and Oxbow is going to be pushing from the inside so that probably means golden sense will be bounced around in between speed so for me he is now a toss. Revolutionary is a must play on the rail with Calvin and he paired his 2yo top in last whch could mean a forward move, so he is a must play.. I think Verrazanno and Orb got great draws too outside a lot of the traffic and speed So those are my main three. It\'s my lucky day should improve off of his last but the dstance is holding me back from making him one of my top contenders while Overanalyze and Normandy Invasion seem like they are going to be closing too late to get up so i\'ll keep them in my second tier. My longshot for the third ,fourth or fifth suck up prize is golden soul who is always closing late, paired his top and might move forward again..My Lute (also paired top in last and possible move forward and Charming Kitten (Ramsey) will also be in my suck up spots ...Did I mention enough horses??..
A horses
Revolutionary, Orb, Verrazanao
B horses
It\'s my lucky day, Overanalyze, Normandy Invasion
C (suck-up)horses
Golden Soul, My Lute, Charming Kitten
Jim, good luck!! You got a great draw as the outside speed stalking Golden Cents , pounce around the far turn and start screaming and whipping with the program and ride hm home with Saez.
A horse
16 Orb
B horse
12 Itsmyluckyday
C horses
2 Oxbow, 5 Normandy Invasion, 11 Lines of Battle, 14 Verrazano, 19 Java\'s War
D (superfecta use) horses
1 Black Onyx, 3 Revolutionary,6 Mylute, 8 Goldencents, 9 Overanalyze, 15 Charming Kitten
Here\'s how I\'m playing it:
Major win bet on 16, Saver win bet on 12
Major exacta box 12,16
Saver exacta boxes 16/2,5,11,14,19
Mini-saver exacta 12/2,5,11,14,19
Main Tris 16 1st 12 back and forth 2nd & 3rd with 2,5,11,14 19
$1 tris & supers as follows:
Tri \"Box Wheel\" 12 & 16 with all (18 combos x $6)
Tri key 16 over 2,5,11,12,14
Tri 12.16/12,16/ALL
Superfecta (16 1st) (12 2nd) (1,2,3,5,6,8,9,11,12,14,15,19 3rd & 4th)
Superfecta Key 16 over 2,5,11,12,14
Basically I\'m all in on Orb running 1st & Itsmyluckyday running 2nd behind Orb. If Itsmyluckyday wins, I\'ll break even or win a little if anyone but Orb runs 2nd, if Orb runs 2nd I\'ll have a good exacta & I\'ll make decent money. I\'m going for the gold with my tris & supers where I\'ll be throwing in my bombs. Realistically I expect no greater than 9/2 on Orb & I\'ll settle for 7/2 but I\'m hoping the crowd is relying on Beyers & that pushes Orb up a tick. Itsmyluckyday between 8/1 & 10/1. None of us will ever see 15/1 on IMLD.
I love #10 Ghost Hunter in the 5th. Main speed (see race shape), best mud breeding, room to continue forward movement and comes out of a key race which has produced 3 subsequent winners from the 3 who have raced back including the Lexington winner who edged him at the end of that race. Now Baffert\'s Code West is going to take a ton of money because everyone knows he was pointed for the Derby, but the fact Baffert knows he didn\'t belong in the Derby is a negative against this very live horse. If I can get 6/1 I\'ll be quite happy.
Only tri\'s and supers for me.
Orb on top on all tickets.
If he fires just a question of wide his trip will be.
Revolutionary,Itsmyluckyday and Java\'s War under keys.
Revolutionary 1w1w even with a pair up in the mix.
Itsmyluckday a 10f question mark, might need this one for Baltimore but too fast to leave out.
Java might not get a hot pace to run at but it\'ll still be quicker than anything he\'s seen to date and more distance can only help.
Good Luck
Lost Cause Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> My longshot for the
> third ,fourth or fifth suck up prize is golden
> soul who is always closing late, paired his top
> and might move forward again..My Lute (also paired
> top in last and possible move forward and Charming
> Kitten (Ramsey) will also be in my suck up spots
> ...Did I mention enough horses??..
> A horses
> Revolutionary, Orb, Verrazanao
> B horses
> It\'s my lucky day, Overanalyze, Normandy Invasion
> C (suck-up)horses
> Golden Soul, My Lute, Charming Kitten
>
I feel sick..If I can get Calvin up to second I got the tri multiple times and the super once, multiple times if Normandy runs third thereafter...All i got was the exacta..
Congrats on the p6 JB I got beat by the 7 in that first leg or else I would be doing cartwheels with you...
still a nice hit with the 4
Yeah, the exacta paid great but I picked the top five finishers and just couldnt get them in the right order..the super hi five carried over for 300K..I didn\'t sleep well..