I read the following blog/column and then I went and looked at Orb\'s sheet. Shug is refreshingly truthful about this horse. He wasn\'t very fast as a 2yo - then didn\'t really impress first out but then Shug says he really saw how he had matured and was working much much better. His figures back this up and I guess it is nice to see a trainer kind of be upfront with fans/patrons about what he really thought of the horse. I think ORB is going to win the Derby so I might be a bit over enthused about the story.
http://www.followhorseracing.com/en/the-latest/news-stories/2013/4/23/shug-mcgaugheys-derby-diary/
Are you confident that the 1-1/4 is to Orb\'s advantage? Who else do you expect to be still running in the last 1/8 of a mile?