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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: toppled on April 11, 2013, 08:25:47 PM

Title: 1st look at Bluegrass-bombs(?) away
Post by: toppled on April 11, 2013, 08:25:47 PM
Is the ML completely wrong or is one of the major contenders a 50-1 ML rank outsider?

If Java\'s War can repeat his last race, he\'s the winner, but considering it was a new top by 5.25 points, that\'s a big if.  

If Uncaptured runs back to his Iroquois, he\'ll be tough, but why would he, other than 2nd off the layoff with just about every race other than the Iroquois 4 points slower.

Now I\'ve got to like 50-1 ML Tesseron, his 2yo Poly races are faster than most of these have run at 3. In fact in one of them he beat 7/2 ML favorite Uncaptured by 3.5 lengths & got a 1.25 better figure.  I\'m willing to forgive the turf race and the race Uncaptured beat him on dirt.  Also, he should be faster on poly as a 3yo than last year.  With the 9th race having a figure standout, I\'ll play a nice double with Tesseron in the BG.  I\'m guessing that Tesseron won\'t be anywhere near 50-1, I\'d take 10-1 on him at this point with a double paying around $100.