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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: Boscar Obarra on September 19, 2012, 01:27:59 PM

Title: some computer bettor has figured out
Post by: Boscar Obarra on September 19, 2012, 01:27:59 PM
its better to bet early in NY and kill the prices so the competition wont play those numbers.

 been going on for a few weeks.
Title: Re: some computer bettor has figured out
Post by: msola1 on September 19, 2012, 01:47:59 PM
how do you know this?
Title: Re: some computer bettor has figured out
Post by: miff on September 19, 2012, 02:31:19 PM
The Mad Bomber comes and goes in NY for the past 15-20 years.If its the same guy,Richie, a stone sucker who bets 10-15k first flash on a very short priced horse. His theory was that he could end up getting a better final price by dissuading others off the overbet horse.

Over years has gone for his lungs.Played at Winners Circle in Manhattan before NYC OTB went broke.
Title: Re: some computer bettor has figured out
Post by: Boscar Obarra on September 19, 2012, 02:49:47 PM
just so you know, this is in  the exacta pool. the $ amount is right in that range, so maybe he has a new get rich quick scheme.

 some of the punches are kinda ludicrous though.
Title: Re: some computer bettor has figured out
Post by: miff on September 19, 2012, 02:59:21 PM
Box,

The guy I know only used to bet win so unless he changed his MO, it\'s not him.

Computer guys come in late usually when software spots what it perceives to be inefficiencies in the exacta payoffs.

Mike
Title: Re: some computer bettor has figured out
Post by: TGJB on September 19, 2012, 03:12:59 PM
Right. Those programs need to see odds to find what their handicappers see as overlays, can\'t go in early.
Title: Re: some computer bettor has figured out
Post by: Boscar Obarra on September 19, 2012, 03:32:22 PM
early in this case is 10-12 mtp

 most of the big bets had been  coming in very late, but these guys are betting after the \'publics\' odds are known, but early enough to \'scare off\' other value seeking programs.

 seeing some very out of whack numbers because of this.