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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: APny on May 09, 2012, 08:55:20 PM

Title: Kentucky Oaks #s
Post by: APny on May 09, 2012, 08:55:20 PM
I really feel like the tg numbers of the oaks winner have to be wrong.  There\'s no way Believe You Can just miraculously jumped up like that.  The pattern was not really screaming huge new top.  She beat Summer Applause TWICE at FG and her sheet looks nowhere near as good as SA\'s.  For me it\'s why the numbers are only a small part of the puzzle.
Title: Re: Kentucky Oaks #s
Post by: Boscar Obarra on May 09, 2012, 10:48:02 PM
The rest of the field lines up rather well behind BYC\'s number, so by that standard the number makes sense.

 Could have been a combination of the fastish track, + the horse was working extremely well for the race. If the number is off, its not by much.
Title: Re: Kentucky Oaks #s
Post by: Rick B. on May 10, 2012, 05:36:47 AM
APny Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> I really feel like the tg numbers of the oaks
> winner have to be wrong.  There\'s no way Believe
> You Can just miraculously jumped up like that.

It certainly made me double-check the trainer name; still Larry Jones, and not Dutrow, Ness, et. al.
Title: Re: Kentucky Oaks #s
Post by: miff on May 10, 2012, 08:12:49 AM
AP,

Agree,the performance of BYC was not predictive however the Oaks was one of the easier numbers to make.The TG figures come up perfectly in line with the day, and the other figure makers.

You are of course entitled to think everyone has it wrong and go with your own.


Mike
Title: Re: Kentucky Oaks #s
Post by: Topcat on May 12, 2012, 07:01:43 AM
Thought the winner\'s line was not unattractive . . . especially at the price, and with Rosie . . . Julie who?