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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: phil23 on May 08, 2012, 02:28:56 PM

Title: Preakness ML
Post by: phil23 on May 08, 2012, 02:28:56 PM
This assumes Bode goes and that Paynter does not, given that they have the same connections and relative styles.  Also assuming Liason waits for the Belmont but less certain about that.  Rags almost definitely not going it sounds.  Dull very likely, WTDW and CC sound certain.  And of course we know DW will run...when doesn\'t he?  Feel free to tear apart the odds, it\'s only a first attempt.  Tallies up to 122%, so perhaps I ought to say post time instead of ML as god knows whatever line maker makes the ML it will be closer to 135% (pet peeve).

Bodemeister   Bb   2.8
IHA             O\'Neill   4
Dullahan   Romans   6
WTDW       Motion   6
creative cause   Harri   8
Hansen           Maker   13
Isn\'t He Clever   Asm   20
Optimizer   Dw   20
Hierro           Asm   20
Cozzetti   Romans   25
Teethofthedog   Matz   30
Tiger Walk   Correas   30
Zetterholm   Dutrow   40
Pretension   Grove   50

If they do come out close to this, not sure I could actually find a bet.  Maybe IHC to finally get back to that top?  That\'s about it though.
Title: Re: Preakness ML
Post by: justwin on May 08, 2012, 05:32:24 PM
i would play cc at 8-1 if those were the odds. post, tg #\'s will play a factor but thats based on how i feel now. cc circling back to that 0 and may break through.
Title: DW Lukas streak continues
Post by: Sandreadis on May 08, 2012, 05:50:37 PM
Love the \"And of course DW will run,when doesn\'t he\"

How about his entry of maiden Colonial Empress in the G1 KYOAKS?
Don\'t think there is another trainer in America that would spot this horse the way he has.
Title: Re: Preakness ML
Post by: big18741 on May 09, 2012, 05:58:35 AM
He ran a good one in the Derby with all the wide.

Maybe that effort sets him back with the quick turnaround.Connections put him on a plane back to California Sunday morning.Decide yesterday they want to run in Baltimore.Shipping back to Churchill again next week to pick up the Derby horses
then to Pimlico.

Makes no sense.Just leave him in Ky in the first place.

I want to like him in Baltimore but with the connections and Rosario it\'s difficult.Hoping he draws wide so I don\'t have to think about him.
Title: Re: Preakness ML
Post by: Holybull on May 09, 2012, 06:42:48 AM
Creative Cause will certainly be lower priced than Went the Day Well.

DRF doesn\'t have Isn\'t He Clever on the contender\'s list.  He\'d be intruiging if he goes.
Title: Re: Preakness ML
Post by: JR on May 09, 2012, 07:12:33 AM
Maybe he had a doctors appointment in California?