You make decisions about the Derby from the end of the 2yo season on through post position draw...you change your mind frequently as new developments occur and shift your point of view. I don\'t want to jinx myself, but I made my first decision before the new year and just about everything that\'s developed just made my conviction stronger.
The horse\'s style always seemed to fit the race shape that we started to see develop in the BC Juvenile. His two prep races were sharp. He retains one of the hottest jockeys in the country, whose own style fits the way the race is shaping up. He has the numbers and a TG pattern that looks like it is going forward.
The post position draw? Even that. My future book bet drew the exact post I was hoping for. Won\'t say his name...don\'t wan to jinx the horse...but I see this as a fairly sure thing. Number 15.