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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: alm on December 15, 2011, 05:20:12 AM

Title: Races
Post by: alm on December 15, 2011, 05:20:12 AM
Anybody want to talk about an upcoming race?

Friday, Gulfstream 9th.

Favorite likely to be Adios Charlie, but if he\'s not ready and this one is competitive, Uptowncharlybrown may be ready and is just about fast enough close to his best.  For what it\'s worth Maragh takes him and may have had a choice between the two.
Title: Re: Races
Post by: dodie on December 16, 2011, 08:22:51 AM
alm
  You\'ve ID\'d the contenders, but Adios Charlie at 6/5 isn\'t value to win, nor will utcb be at 5/2.  With the scratches, the interesting horse that may make the race playable in x-ta\'s and tris with the top two is Andersonstate at 20-1 ML.  He\'ll get the lead, and with 3 months since his top and 3 months before that his previous top, he\'s cycling to a top effort here.  Problem is, that will probably still have him as the 3rd fastest.  With the one turn, the ground he\'ll save on the lead will not be as valuable as it would be if this were two turns.  But if i\'m getting 10/1 on him, he\'s my key under the top two.