Over $3,000,000 in the pool now. That is already 20 times more than what I saw yesterday in the pool.
http://www.kentuckyderby.com/contenders/kentucky-derby-live-odds
Note: Pants on Fire bet down to second favorite.
1. 12
2. 26
3. 9
4. 15
5. 37
6. 35
7. 7
8. 5
9. 31
10. 26
11. 17
12. 30
13. 10
14. 21
15. 11
16. 19
17. 15
18. Scratch
19. 10
20. 27
You can still get Pants on Fire at 24-1 at one of the major sportsbooks that services the U.S.
Bobby Flay just picked Soldat to win triple crown, and his odds dropped immediately from 15-1 to 14-1.
Right now I couldn\'t hit water if I fell out of a f\'in boat. At this pace, I\'ll be declaring bankruptcy before the Derby.
Mo,
Nothing to do with Bobby Flay at all. The rain that was forecast and just started puts the track at risk of being sloppy, which moves Soldat up.
The horse figures without the wet track, if he gets out of the gate clean, and the wet track only makes him that much tougher.
Agreed. Didn\'t think there would be much of a rainfall though.
Anyhow, I did make my bets:
$60 win and place on Soldat.
$5 exacta box: Soldat with Arch, Mucho, Shack and Pants.
$ 1 tri: 17/1,6,7,8,13,14, 19 (edited)
Total investment $202.
If Soldat runs 2nd and I miss all exotics, I should still pull $300 out of the race.
Good luck and safe trips to all!
Pants On Fire - 7-1 still, bad news
Master of Hounds - 12-1 really? hard to believe
Jimbo,
After my knocks on Soldat from your string last month, slop and uncontested speed trips at Gulf. Not a true 0-2-X. The kool aide has settled ! It looks like were going to avoid rain this afternoon ?
I\'m keying Soldat and MMM on top over Stay Thirsty, Pants On Fire & Master of Hounds for exactas and triples. I\'ll also make a major exacta box of Sodlat and MMM.
The above wagers are not endorsed nor should be deemed as safe for children.
It\'s been a very ugly Derby Week but were still only 1 bet away from level !!!
Good luck to all,
Frank D.
numbers.. I got Pants On Fire 30-1 a week ago on my book.. I was worried that alot of the Rosie press would knock him down. But I had no anticipation of it being this much. Still, I would expect him to drift above 10-1 soon after Race 10 goes official.
sekrah Wrote:
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> numbers.. I got Pants On Fire 30-1 a week ago on
> my book.. I was worried that alot of the Rosie
> press would knock him down. But I had no
> anticipation of it being this much. Still, I
> would expect him to drift above 10-1 soon after
> Race 10 goes official.
It will be interesting to see. I wasn\'t expecting as low as 7-1 at all. Glad you got in at 30-1. I decided to just go heavy in the exactas, and skip the tris for the most part and go lighter overall than I had planned. I hope we are a little bit right. The DRF people and TVG people are all over the place with everything from Brilliant Speed to Animal Kingdom to Master of Hounds. I even heard one guy advocating derby kitten, so go figure. If get beat by those, then I just get beat.
Judging from the NBC telecast, every Hollywood lady in a hat at Churchill is holding a winning ticket on Pants On Fire.
Sekrah,
Same thing here in upstate NY. I thought it might just have been me only knowing girls with \" Hot Pants \" !!!
http://www.kentuckyderby.com/
Am I missing something? POF is currently listed at 20-1.
20-1 is the morning line. 7-1 is the current odds on POF
numbers.
POF ridiculously underbet in the double here!!
POF 3x AAA, 5x Dialed In for this double.
I respectfully beg to differ:
MORNING LINE:
1 1 Archarcharch (KY) 3/C L J K Court 126 W H Fires 10/1
2 2 Brilliant Speed (FL) 3/C LA J Rosario 126 T Albertrani 30/1
3 3 Twice the Appeal (KY) 3/C LA C H Borel 126 J Bonde 20/1
4 4 Stay Thirsty (KY) 3/C LA R A Dominguez 126 T A Pletcher 20/1
5 5 Decisive Moment (FL) 3/C LA K D Clark 126 J D Arias 30/1
6 6 Comma to the Top (FL) 3/G LA P A Valenzuela 126 P Miller 30/1
7 7 Pants On Fire (KY) 3/C LA R Napravnik 126 K J Breen 20/1
8 8 Dialed In (KY) 3/C LA J R Leparoux 126 N P Zito 4/1
9 9 Derby Kitten (KY) 3/C LA J Castellano 126 M J Maker 30/1
10 10 Twinspired (KY) 3/C LA M E Smith 126 M J Maker 30/1
11 11 Master of Hounds (KY) 3/C LA G K Gomez 126 A P O\'Brien 30/1
12 12 Santiva (KY) 3/C LA S Bridgmohan 126 E Kenneally 30/1
13 13 Mucho Macho Man (FL) 3/C LA R Maragh 126 K Ritvo 12/1
14 14 Shackleford (KY) 3/C LA J L Castanon 126 D L Romans 12/1
15 15 Midnight Interlude (KY) 3/C LA V Espinoza 126 B Baffert 10/1
16 16 Animal Kingdom (KY) 3/C LA R Albarado 126 H G Motion 30/1
17 17 Soldat (KY) 3/C LA A Garcia 126 K P McLaughlin 12/1
SCR Uncle Mo (KY) -------------------------------------Scratched-------------------------------------
19 19 Nehro (KY) 3/C LA C S Nakatani 126 S M Asmussen 6/1
20 20 Watch Me Go (FL) 3/C L R Bejarano 126 K O\'Connell 50/1
CURRENT ODDS:
01 13-1
02 26-1
03 10-1
04 15-1
05 37-1
06 36-1
07 20-1
08 5-1
09 34-1
10 29-1
11 13-1
12 34-1
13 9-1
14 24-1
15 8-1
16 21-1
17 14-1
19 10-1
20 30-1
Good Luck Frank! My god i didn\'t see anyone here mention (including me) success building a last minute bankroll from the rest of the card. Hope the Derby picks hit!
MO, where\'d you get that? The tote shows 7-1.
www.kentuckyderby.com
Huh?
http://www.kentuckyderby.com/contenders/kentucky-derby-live-odds
[www.kentuckyderby.com]
that IS weird.....................
The page I linked to is the HOME page.
Apparently they are giving conflicting information.
I\'ll take your word for it since you are at this more than I.
Good luck
No, I have no idea. 20-1 makes much more sense to me. I\'m shocked to see 7-1 on a horse that had absolutely NO BUZZ and was available on the sportsbooks at 25 to 30-1 yesterday.
Crossing my fingers Shackleford and Soldat stay at these prices with 55 min to go. Spread all over with those two, the seminar horses and a few others. I see Shackleford running a long, long way off CTT, Soldat tracking in 3rd or 4th in the clear. We\'ll see.
Good luck guys. Let\'s get \'em
sekrah Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> No, I have no idea. 20-1 makes much more sense to
> me. I\'m shocked to see 7-1 on a horse that had
> absolutely NO BUZZ and was available on the
> sportsbooks at 25 to 30-1 yesterday.
Same with Master of Hounds. He should be like 40-1, yet is sitting at 15-1? One prep in Dubai? looked horrible on the track a couple of days ago? Bred for the grass? Doesn\'t make any sense.
Exactas do not reflect 7-1 either. They reflect 20-1. Wierd...........
This is the Derby. Lots of \"once a year\" money. All the women are betting Rosie. And a lot of (Master of Hounds) people like dogs. Same for Derby Kitten, and cats.
I think MOH is layoff money from Brits. There\'s a ton of jockey money on Calvin and Rosie, almost all in the win pool.
NBC just said POF is currently 7-1.
Makes sense. I mean, I like dogs, but not THAT much. But Derbys Kitten should be 60-1.