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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: djr2000 on May 04, 2011, 12:06:27 PM

Title: My predictions for derby
Post by: djr2000 on May 04, 2011, 12:06:27 PM
I will box the following horses for Derby:

Uncle Mo, Soldat, Santiva, MMM, and Dialed In
Supers, Tri\'s ,and exactas.
Title: Re: My predictions for derby
Post by: alm on May 04, 2011, 12:40:47 PM
Maybe you want to wait to see the post positions.
Title: Re: My predictions for derby
Post by: TGJB on May 04, 2011, 12:48:56 PM
Or the sheets.
Title: Re: My predictions for derby
Post by: number5858 on May 04, 2011, 12:59:13 PM
I think you are spot on and should encourage all your friends and relatives to follow suit. Wager heavily.
Title: Re: My predictions for derby
Post by: sekrah on May 04, 2011, 01:05:04 PM
Yikes, I might not post my picks this year.. ;).  Tough crowd.  My \"Top Dog\" may draw a similar reaction.  Crossing fingers for a lucky draw.
Title: Re: My predictions for derby
Post by: Lost Cause on May 04, 2011, 01:15:57 PM
djr2000 Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> I will box the following horses for Derby:
>
> Uncle Mo, Soldat, Santiva, MMM, and Dialed In
> Supers, Tri\'s ,and exactas.


Post Position Draws are too important to figure out your plays before.  If they all draw the Auxiliary gate you\'ll most likely change your mind.
Title: Re: My predictions for derby
Post by: P-Dub on May 04, 2011, 01:21:48 PM
Lost Cause Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> djr2000 Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > I will box the following horses for Derby:
> >
> > Uncle Mo, Soldat, Santiva, MMM, and Dialed In
> > Supers, Tri\'s ,and exactas.
>
>
> Post Position Draws are too important to figure
> out your plays before.  If they all draw the
> Auxiliary gate you\'ll most likely change your
> mind.

Horses win from out there.
Title: Re: My predictions for derby
Post by: Lost Cause on May 04, 2011, 01:34:55 PM
I agree but I meant if all of his picks drew out there he would probably change his mind since he is talking about supers and tris..I don\'t have any issues with his picks but he needs to wait until he hass all the info.
Title: Re: My predictions for derby
Post by: TGJB on May 04, 2011, 01:40:54 PM
There is the not-so-small matter of there having been a dead rail last time they had a big raceday at this joint. Try doing a %#*^ seminar without knowing about that in advance.
Title: Re: My predictions for derby
Post by: jbelfior on May 04, 2011, 01:44:23 PM
From weeks of race replay  watching, Jerry\'s sheets, etc I am down to 4 that I think can win.

Post position draw will finalize my decision.


Good Luck,
Joe B.
Title: Re: My predictions for derby
Post by: number5858 on May 04, 2011, 02:14:03 PM
sekrah Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Yikes, I might not post my picks this year.. ;).
> Tough crowd.  My \"Top Dog\" may draw a similar
> reaction.  Crossing fingers for a lucky draw.

But I knew you were waiting on the weather picture ;)
Title: Re: My predictions for derby
Post by: Dana666 on May 04, 2011, 02:40:03 PM
Or the weather report!
Title: Re: My predictions for derby
Post by: sekrah on May 04, 2011, 03:35:35 PM
numbers, he drew well.  It will surprise a few of you.  I have talked very little about him and was actually considering tossing him two weeks ago.   My full rundown tomorrow morning.
Title: Re: My predictions for derby
Post by: mjellish on May 04, 2011, 03:36:59 PM
Let me guess.  Pants on Fire.
Title: Re: My predictions for derby
Post by: sekrah on May 04, 2011, 03:42:04 PM
mjellish, you know how to ruin all the suspense dont you?  ;-)
Title: Re: My predictions for derby
Post by: mjellish on May 04, 2011, 03:47:24 PM
Just ask my wife.
Title: Re: My predictions for derby
Post by: number5858 on May 04, 2011, 03:54:45 PM
I am waiting on the sheets tonight, but I must say that my heart is with Mucho Macho Man. That was a class act from his owners in what they did for Eibar. I have been watching Coa for many years at Monmouth. Wish all owners were like that rather that some of the other examples we see. Taking care of your jockey and promoting racing. What a concept. Wish the people with the TV signals would figure out that they better get together for the good of racing.
Title: Re: My predictions for derby
Post by: pres711 on May 04, 2011, 04:07:27 PM
calvin gets the rail with TTA, is he good enough? my fav\'s coming in,AAA, soldat, BS, POF,MMM, with one exception were not helped today, neither was AK, my sixth choice.  looking forward to the seminar, any thoughts? Can AAA survive the rail? Is soldat too far out? I\'m hoping for rain and just may box these and throw calvin in somewhere as a savor to hit the board. Worried about the SHAC with the draw, probbly need to put him somewhere too.   I\'ll toss the rest.  was planning on keying AAA/soldat, have a lot to digest in48 hours. may they all come home safely.
Title: Re: My predictions for derby
Post by: Uncle Buck on May 04, 2011, 04:15:52 PM
How anyone can be making predictions 96 hours in advance of a race at CD, following the dreadful rail on BC day is ludicrous. Weather will also be a factor.

The wise guy horse drew the rail. Ouch
Title: Re: My predictions for derby
Post by: jbelfior on May 04, 2011, 04:28:53 PM
Buck:

You have to love the Derby. AAA was an irrelevant 3yo just a month ago. A crazy pace and golden trip gets him in the winners circle (barely BTW) and now he\'s a top Derby contender.

Words to the wise (guys).....if you weren\'t at the wedding ($52), then don\'t bother going to the wake.


Good Luck,
Joe B.
Title: Re: My predictions for derby
Post by: big18741 on May 04, 2011, 04:55:42 PM
Same idea with 68-1 Shackleford.

Pants on Fire my key.

Gonna mess around with Animal Kingdom on a smaller ticket just in case he runs a race on dirt like he\'s been training over it.Think both those horses have a chance to run new tops on six weeks rest.
Title: Re: My predictions for derby
Post by: Halo Fire on May 04, 2011, 05:03:38 PM
Eye opening post. Sincerely.
Title: Re: My predictions for derby
Post by: MonmouthGuy on May 04, 2011, 05:09:46 PM
Did not see that trip as golden at all.

Good luck.
Title: Re: My predictions for derby
Post by: Bustin Stones* on May 04, 2011, 06:39:01 PM
Dialed In/Pants on Fire/Twice the Apeal...Cold...Ship it
Title: Re: My predictions for derby
Post by: Flighted Iron on May 04, 2011, 09:13:14 PM
or if anyone else withdraws.