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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: Jersey City Jake on May 23, 2003, 04:55:14 AM

Title: Best Minister's Belmont nomination
Post by: Jersey City Jake on May 23, 2003, 04:55:14 AM
I guess his connections are bullish on him if they\'re willing to drop $100,000 just to get him in the gate.  Hey, it worked for them last year.  What do you think his chances of improving off that pair up are?
Title: Re: Best Minister's Belmont nomination
Post by: derby1592 on May 23, 2003, 12:12:36 PM
JCJ,

Best Minister would need to improve to win and I think he has less than a 10 percent chance to improve despite the pair-up and distance breeding and keep in mind that he could improve and still lose. I would estimate that he has about a 15-25 percent chance of repeating his last which could hit the board. Finally, given the connection to Sarava, he is also likely to get overbet so I just don\'t see a lot of value there; however, if he goes off at 70-1 (unlikely), my opinion could change.

Good luck.

Chris