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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: CHOWDERMAN on November 02, 2010, 07:20:36 AM

Title: best bomb in any of the breeder's cup races.....
Post by: CHOWDERMAN on November 02, 2010, 07:20:36 AM
any love for musket man if he\'s in the 20 to 30-1 range....ran two  numbers that can put him in the money this year...pace implosion he gets the jump on the closers????thoughts...
Title: Re: best bomb in any of the breeder's cup races.....
Post by: APny on November 02, 2010, 07:31:20 AM
Has anyone looked at the sheet on Hamazing Destiny?  I\'ve been following this horse and he\'s gotten good again...Top at CD last year....a -2 can win this race..he can stalk too...which I think is important in these types of races.  He\'s never faced a real stellar field but this years sprint isn\'t as loaded as years past it seems.  He\'s going to a huge price.
Title: Re: best bomb in any of the breeder's cup races.....
Post by: sekrah on November 02, 2010, 08:11:30 AM
I have Musket Man\'s true odds being closer to 10-1, so I anticipate using him heavily in the Classic.
Title: Re: best bomb in any of the breeder's cup races.....
Post by: CHOWDERMAN on November 02, 2010, 08:14:57 AM
are you anticipating a new top to a neg 3 and that should get it done...or are figuring bounce city on quality road, fly down, luckyy
Title: Re: best bomb in any of the breeder's cup races.....
Post by: jbelfior on November 02, 2010, 08:44:02 AM
Chowder/Sekrah:

Either one of you want to explain how you figure on Musket Man staying a 1 1/4 against the best dirt horses in training?

Good Luck,
Joe B.
Title: Re: best bomb in any of the breeder's cup races.....
Post by: sekrah on November 02, 2010, 08:51:49 AM
I give the horse a 9-10% chance of winning so I\'m not exactly expecting him to win.  But the horse never runs an terrible race, he\'s always fit and lays himself out there.  If he gets a solid trip, he\'ll have a shot.   That\'s all.   He\'s twice finished within 2 lengths of QR.. If things go great and a couple of the others get a mediocre trip, I think he has a chance.
Title: Re: best bomb in any of the breeder's cup races.....
Post by: Bigredgoer on November 02, 2010, 08:56:41 AM
Joe B. ,
   I must agree with you...he was not even in the same zip code as B & QR in the Whitney at 1 1/8... how off of that race, and the Monmouth effort can you expect  him passing anyone @1 1/4 at CD?
Title: Re: best bomb in any of the breeder's cup races.....
Post by: HP on November 02, 2010, 09:52:17 AM
Here are a few.  Not sure these will all qualify as \"bombs.\"    

2yo Mile Turf - Tale Untold and Theyskens Theory (the latter in the Juvenile fillies as well - will run a new top but remains to be seen if it\'s enough).

1M 2yo Turf - Major Gain - should improve on turf

1M dirt - Morning Line - new top

Turf sprint - Central City - ditto

1M turf - The Usual QT - pair of last gets in the picture

HP
Title: Re: best bomb in any of the breeder's cup races.....
Post by: toppled on November 02, 2010, 03:51:41 PM
Bombs away on Evening Jewel in the F&M Sprint.  Only 1 dirt race over this track was a huge jump up # over all her poly races & subsequent turf races.  She\'ll be the one that blows by them all in the stretch.
Title: Re: best bomb in any of the breeder's cup races.....
Post by: alm on November 03, 2010, 08:11:19 AM
Good thought...
Title: Re: best bomb in any of the breeder's cup races.....
Post by: Ill-bred on November 03, 2010, 09:11:23 AM
Theyskens\' Theory in the BC Juvenile Fillies. Bred for dirt by Bernardini and G1 tested at a mile at Ascot. She\'s athletic and has some positional speed. 1/2 to Stevie Wonderboy. Dettori up.

Looks like a dirt horse to me. Watch her here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RwowL9bGC7s
Title: Re: best bomb in any of the breeder's cup races.....
Post by: alm on November 03, 2010, 09:16:26 AM
Another good thought is to look closely at all Dettori rides...