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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: Dana666 on February 24, 2010, 11:50:09 AM

Title: Big CAP
Post by: Dana666 on February 24, 2010, 11:50:09 AM
The weather report for Arcadia is a bit sketchy for Saturday with rain in the afternoon/evening. I wonder if they\'ll get the card in before the rain? I\'ll be watching the track surface carefully. I think they\'ll work on it, so it will likely play pretty fast with the inside paths being best and closers will be at a huge disadvantage. Hopefully, it won\'t be like cement or goo where 75% of the horses won\'t extend themselves at all. Regarding the grass, a very consistent speed bias has help up recently, and I don\'t see that changing either. I\'ll be looking for inside paths and speed/pressers on both surfaces. Might be like BC day only worse. A very strange track indeed. With the synthetic advent, races like the Big Cap have lost their luster, but there should still be good betting opportunities on such a card. I\'m wondering if the BC Classic was indeed only a mediocre race unlike my original assessment; Gio Ponti didn\'t come back and win, but that may not be a good test. Not sure, really.
Title: Re: Big CAP
Post by: Dana666 on February 24, 2010, 11:52:40 AM
Hey, my friend just informed me, I\'m a week early. So hold that thought. The Bias information will still hold true for THIS Saturday, but the Big Cap card is yet another matter.
Title: Re: Big CAP
Post by: Dana666 on February 26, 2010, 08:14:49 AM
Looks like the rain is coming earlier than expected; I don\'t think I\'ll waste time handicapping another card that may get washed out, I have no way of knowing, but their track record isn\'t good. Yet another California Derby Prep down the drain???