m\'s will getting weight 8-1 m/l. looks interesting. any thoughts?
M\'s Will seems usable, but this is a tough little race you found, Pres.
He seems stuck on the same number he\'s run 3 of his last 4 (which might be good enough to win), so I don\'t know where any improvement going to come from. It seems to be a \"must\" that he runs the same again just to contend, and there are at least 4 others in here that can run as fast. M\'s Will does pick up 1 TG point on the 5 lb weight shift, though. He\'ll need it.
The big dog here is #11 Russell Road, who has the best numbers, although they were earned solely at ChuckTown, where you have to make like 12 turns to go the 7 furlongs he\'s been running lately. Russell Road is curving back to his best effort but is vulnerable from the outside post. Don\'t like him at 2-1, but can\'t see tossing him either.
Other possibilities:
#4 Nay\'s Tap shows a recent tight pair and seems at least as good as M\'s Will. Is there more horse back there? Your call. ML 6-1 seems about right.
#6 Citizen and #8 Easy Gallop both have some competitive numbers to run back to, except that Citizen is ML 12-1 and Easy Gallop is 3-1.
That makes Citizen the focus of this race for me, and the fact that he is trained by Bernie Flint is simply a bonus. If M\'s Will *and* Citizen go off at 10-1 or more, I might dutch \'em to win in addition to the exotics.
maybe we have turned and are now back to handicapping. thank goodness
Haha, gotcha!
Happy Tuesday.
I\'m hoping the weight and post will be enough to beat the 11. 4 and 8 look playable in the boxes. Good luck.
Bunch of scratches: #1, #3, my pick #6, #8 (2nd ML fave), and #11 (ML fave). I guess a $75K stakes pot on a (rare) dry, fast track at MNR on a Tuesday night isn\'t enough.
The jock on #5 (M\'s Will) is 2 lbs. over; good -- maybe he ate a meal or something, and won\'t pass out before he gets to the wire.
Looks like you can lock it up with a 4-5 box.