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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: HP on November 07, 2009, 02:40:12 PM

Title: Early thanks
Post by: HP on November 07, 2009, 02:40:12 PM
My biggest play of the day was Cost of Freedom and I thought I was going to have a heart attack there.  After an 0-fer got out for the two days now big time on Dirt Mile (no past posting - it\'s on the board).  

Have to drive out to LI now but thanks TG for the good stuff this year!  Strong close in the Classic would make it my personal best BC ever.  

HP
Title: Re: Early thanks
Post by: sekrah on November 07, 2009, 02:43:25 PM
All Sheets users should of cleaned up on that Dirt Mile IMO.    I needed and nailed that exacta good.  I too nearly lost my marbles on Cost of Freedom.   Let\'s hope for a profitable Classic.
Title: Re: Early thanks
Post by: P-Dub on November 07, 2009, 05:34:57 PM
The Mile got me out for the day.

Idiot that I am, I used the 8 instead of the 10 in trifectas. Cost me 3 grand. Genius.
Title: Re: Early thanks
Post by: jimbo66 on November 07, 2009, 09:25:35 PM
Good job HP, Sekrah and P-Dub, Good to see some winners on the forum.

Way over the top Sekrak though to say that \"any sheet reader\" should have had the winner.  Under no circumstances was he a \"sheet read\".  He was the top last race Beyer, coming back on relatively short rest, shipping across the country (late) and off a career top.  Not used in the seminar by that \"sheet reader\" and not used by quite a few \"sheet readers\" i know.

But congrats on the hit. (But I would say you should thank yourself for that call, not TG. I am pretty sure TGJB went 0 for the Breeders Cup in the seminar/analysis.
Title: Re: Early thanks
Post by: HP on November 08, 2009, 08:03:59 AM
thanks...I thought the winner was a logical contender, once you decide to toss the favorite and take a swing.  Not a slam dunk, but definitely a play at the price.  Drew well, and I thought he\'d pair up.  I didn\'t see anything else in there that worried me and I was confident in a lot of throwouts.  Between tossing the favorite and not having to spread too much...that\'s what I liked about the race, as per JB\'s important handicapping Q (what do you like about the race?).  

I made the bet Friday...if I had been there Saturday I would not have used Midshipman...horse looked HORRBIBLE before the race.  And...another 20 yards and I would have had to give up horse racing entirely because Ready\'s Echo closed huge and I did not have it on top (only used the winner and Midshipman).  

Thanks to all posters, lots of good insight in the days up to the CUP.  HP
Title: Re: Early thanks
Post by: martoon on November 08, 2009, 10:02:48 AM
From where I was sitting I think the only people who really could have exploited this Cup were the syndicates and whales who spread wide enough to cover everything. I bought both the TG Seminar and the Equiform seminar and combined i think their top choices hit about one out of fifty exotic bets.  Amazing considering the time effort and expertise that goes into this analysis. Did anyone use any other figures or service that worked better?   I played a lot of the prices all over exotic tickets and lot\'s of prices came in but not the one\'s I was on.  A lot like last year.  Had 5 of six finishers in the classic to just barely miss the super and super high five.  Tough to see all those prices on the screen and me missing dozens of bets in a row.  Will try again next year when we get back to the dirt. This is a tough game.  It was a really fun two days to watch though and my wife finally has me back after going Breeders Cup AWOL for 2 straight days...