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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: mkram on August 16, 2009, 08:45:06 AM

Title: Telling
Post by: mkram on August 16, 2009, 08:45:06 AM
Congratulations to all that hit Telling yesterday.

I did not -  I keyed Brass Hat - and was curious as to why people liked him on TG.  He had a nice set of 3\'s to run back to, but his numbers and form this year appeared flat with no indication of a recovery line or forward move.

Thanks.
Title: Re: Telling
Post by: jmetro on August 16, 2009, 09:17:49 AM
Congrats to TG as well for yesterday\'s 6th.  Ex and Tri with a 3 horse box.  

Payoffs were about half what they figured to be so I take it plenty of TG\'ers got well on that one too.
Title: Re: Telling
Post by: JR on August 16, 2009, 09:40:09 AM
Even if he ran back to the nice set of 3\'s it wouldn\'t get it done. He was too slow coming in. Who had him and why?
Title: Re: Telling
Post by: miff on August 16, 2009, 09:52:28 AM
JR, From the Tg sheets the horse is a real stretch. There were so many question marks surrounding the first and second choices that a \'bomb\'was not so far fetched if you took a shot outside the fig \"box\" The winner did have very strong long distance breeding.

I could not have him with 7 picks in there.


Mike
Title: Re: Telling
Post by: richiebee on August 16, 2009, 11:48:06 AM
I thought the key to handicapping the SD was the fact that the course was
apparently rock hard, and that certain horses would be compromised by this.

I threw out the horses that MG affectionately called \"the Krauts\", Pletcher\'s
French import, and Grand Couturier.

That left me with Better Talk Now, who I have consistently taken a position
against for the past 2 seasons. BTN, by the way, seems to have turned into a bit
of a hanger.

Getting beat by a $68 horse did not hurt as much as it should have, having been
beaten about an hour before by a $216.00 winner at Monmouth.
Title: Re: Telling
Post by: shanahan on August 16, 2009, 08:26:21 PM
JR - FWIW - sometime there are just things about trainers intention (must admit I am a late believer here on this topic) that strikes me knowing more about Midwest racing than East Coast racing...and I used a different source for my handicapping the racea at SAR (no worries, it wasn\'t the enemy) for figs on Saturday.

Plus, I really listen to all the radio shows for opinions that may backup my picks...and one guy on Ralph\'s show saw the same thing I did...thankfully.
Title: Re: Telling
Post by: JR on August 17, 2009, 07:20:54 AM
Well you made a nice selection and a good score. Congratulations.