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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: drbillym on July 02, 2009, 06:52:30 AM

Title: Suburban
Post by: drbillym on July 02, 2009, 06:52:30 AM
Looking like a good betting race.  Being in the Dry Martini camp, I am obviously prejudiced, but I do think he can win.  I initially thought Asiatic Boy would be way too tough, but looking at the TG sheets shows his numbers are not much better than ours.  There are several contenders with 0 ratings.  What we have in our favor is that he has never felt better, working 58.10 with little urging.  There is speed in the race, with Finallymadeit insuring a quick pace.  Itsabird and Shamoon should push him along.  Dry Martini will sit a perfect rail trip, and if the race falls apart at the end Dry Martini will be passing many, if not all of them.  We are also hopeful of a muddy track, as he likes the mud, particularly at the Big Sandy.  Itsabird is racing back soon and may bounce.  Asiatic Boy needs lasix, but his number in Dubai was just as good as his first lasix start here.  Cool Coal Man\'s last does worry us, and I will box him with Dry Martini.  Traditional handicapping had us thinking we were over our heads, but the TG numbers give us some encouragement.  Looks wide open and we just need everything to go our way-but that\'s horse racing and the odds should be good.
Title: Re: Suburban
Post by: Michael D. on July 04, 2009, 03:30:44 PM
Great win there Billy, and nice handicapping. I pencilled in a \'0.5\', but it looks like he returned to negative form (good negative).

Congrats.
Title: Re: Suburban
Post by: drbillym on July 04, 2009, 05:16:54 PM
Thank you.  Tagg says Whitney next, but maybe Gold Cup after an easy stake.  He does handle Saratoga ok-his 5th place finish a couple years ago to runaway Commentator was decent and he actually hurt himself a bit in that race.  He is now 100%.