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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: flushedstraight on May 02, 2009, 01:01:58 PM

Title: track bias? racetime condition?
Post by: flushedstraight on May 02, 2009, 01:01:58 PM
Anyone have a clue? I haven\'t made any decisions yet. thanks.
Title: Re: track bias? racetime condition?
Post by: number5858 on May 02, 2009, 01:06:32 PM
speed bias on the sprints, fair on the routes, fair on the turf, but only two turf so far
Title: Re: track bias? racetime condition?
Post by: flushedstraight on May 02, 2009, 01:11:00 PM
thanks. I was wondering about inside/outside? maybe there\'s no definitive answer
Title: Re: track bias? racetime condition?
Post by: number5858 on May 02, 2009, 01:21:15 PM
I am hearing mixed things about inside/outside. After six races, I thought inside, and they made a comment on ESPN about jockey\'s preferring inside, but I am not so sure any more. I think the deep closers are in trouble, but that stalkers will be ok.
Title: Re: track bias? racetime condition?
Post by: flushedstraight on May 02, 2009, 01:29:49 PM
thanks number

sounds like it helps the fave, as an inside stalker here, and the slop probably helps too. Maybe the play is to key him on top and for second with a bunch of longies filling the slots, taking a stand against Dunkirk and PON.

It seems like everything right is happening for Jones with this horse so far today. Too bad he\'s not a price.
Title: Re: track bias? racetime condition?
Post by: number5858 on May 02, 2009, 02:10:36 PM
I sure like FF for 2nd though. I am betting it hard 10/6/a bunch with a 6/10/a bunch saver.
Title: Re: track bias? racetime condition?
Post by: number5858 on May 02, 2009, 02:12:47 PM
Looks like the track is going to be sloppy for the Derby. With about 80 min to post it is cloudy and getting colder.
Title: Re: track bias? racetime condition?
Post by: flushedstraight on May 02, 2009, 02:39:18 PM
number5858 Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> I sure like FF for 2nd though. I am betting it
> hard 10/6/a bunch with a 6/10/a bunch saver.

nice, good luck. it would be great to see Garcia win this. He looks like he\'ll get a better trip than the stablemate if the bias is stalker/inside.

thanks for the update, whatever happens
Title: Re: track bias? racetime condition?
Post by: JR on May 02, 2009, 02:39:35 PM
Can\'t say speed is holding or inside is any good. Informed Decision took the 9th laying off the pace and shifting off the rail in the stretch. Pace setter looked clear before folding inside the 16th. Longshot closers ate up the second and third positions of the tri.
Title: Re: track bias? racetime condition?
Post by: number5858 on May 02, 2009, 02:47:41 PM
Yes, my feeling was that it started changing after the 6th
Title: Re: track bias? racetime condition?
Post by: flushedstraight on May 02, 2009, 02:54:39 PM
JR Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Can\'t say speed is holding or inside is any good.
> Informed Decision took the 9th laying off the pace
> and shifting off the rail in the stretch. Pace
> setter looked clear before folding inside the
> 16th. Longshot closers ate up the second and third
> positions of the tri.


sounds good. Primarily played Hold Me Back even though Mott wanted a firm track. What the hell. Also used FF with all the fast longshots, and small savers on the Dubai pair.  Not much confidence here.