... significantly change the percentages on what sort of number is necessary to win the race?
I mean, with QR & IWR being the two horses with quite the fastest figs, one scratch is a big change!
When both were live, there was a much greater chance the Derby winner was going to run a -2 or -3, yes? If one of those two scratches, doesn\'t that make it that much easier to win this with a \"good trip zero\"? Wouldn\'t that bring some of the slower horses much closer to the top spot, odds-wise?
BB,
Makes solid sense. Since the \"pattern readers\" think IWR is sitting on bounce, a 0 could win the race. Quality Road, while in off a regression did have a stronger line than IWR because of the 0 last year and had two negative figures. The chances of both of them not running their races is certainly less likely than just IWR not running his race.
A \"0\" with the right trip could be enough.
Definitely agree.