I\'m surprised nobody has commented much about the weekend Garrett Gomez had. I mean, is there any question that this guy is the best rider in the country right now? I know he gets great mounts, but he won both million dollar races by such a small margin that it really was the ride that made the difference in both cases..and he did it on two different tracks where you need to ride differently. I love betting this guy..he tries hard every time.
I don\'t bet jockey\'s I bet horses, and trainers intent
NCT
NoCarolinaTony Wrote:
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> I don\'t bet jockey\'s I bet horses, and trainers
> intent
>
> NCT
Sometimes trainer intent can be analyzed by which jockey they use.
It helps when your rivals are Albarado and Aaron Gryder, both formerly employed by White Star Lines as anchors.
But he is very good!!
Good Luck,
Joe B.
Thats good, but I won\'t change my play because lets say.....Jean Luc Samyn ended up on what I thought was best play or value play. Jockies mean more at low level tracks than on the major circuits. It\'s a very small factor in how I play the race.
I doubt that Horse on Saturday pays $188 if lets say Gomez ended up on that runner.
You make you\'re best scores with second tier jocks most times......
NCT
\"Jean Luc Samyn ended up on what...\"
Tony/Joe B,
Now we\'re talking bout \"THE\" human anchor!
Mike
Gomez had a great weekend, but Alan Garcia had one of the great days of all time Saturday at the Spa. Long and short, dirt and turf. Just ridiculous.
Gomez was on this one and it was every bit as a bad beat as Mambo was. Perhaps even worse because it did appear Gomez put away his whip late.
Albarado just should not have celebrated because it looks like he is saying I hope I got it
This stuff happens to these guys. I saw Jerry Bailey ease up a little on Educated Risk in the Rampart at GP and get run down late. So much so that the younger Phipps (Dinny) had to tell the dad (Ogden) to sit back down as he got up to go to the winners circle because with a 100 yards to go the mare was an open daylight lock.
In the paddock before the next race Bailey was still shaking his head and beating himself up. I beat if you asked him now he still remembers that particular beat.
Silver Charm Wrote:
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> Gomez was on this one and it was every bit as a
> bad beat as Mambo was. Perhaps even worse because
> it did appear Gomez put away his whip late.
>
> Albarado just should not have celebrated because
> it looks like he is saying I hope I got it
>
> This stuff happens to these guys. I saw Jerry
> Bailey ease up a little on Educated Risk in the
> Rampart at GP and get run down late. So much so
> that the younger Phipps (Dinny) had to tell the
> dad (Ogden) to sit back down as he got up to go to
> the winners circle because with a 100 yards to go
> the mare was an open daylight lock.
>
> In the paddock before the next race Bailey was
> still shaking his head and beating himself up. I
> beat if you asked him now he still remembers that
> particular beat.
Sounds like the horse should have been named \"Stupid Mistake\" rather than \"Educated Risk\" -- I wonder if that name has ever been used for a horse. I sort of like it. Do you need to be a registered owner to reserve a horse name?
You guys need to stop being so negative.
You are going to start to give me a bad name.........
NoCarolinaTony Wrote:
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> Thats good, but I won\'t change my play because
> lets say.....Jean Luc Samyn ended up on what I
> thought was best play or value play.
This has nothing to do with my point.
>Jockies mean more at low level tracks than on the major
> circuits. It\'s a very small factor in how I play
> the race.
Never said it was a major factor. But there are jock/trainer cobinations that are solid. When a move is made, its foolish not to take notice.
>
> I doubt that Horse on Saturday pays $188 if lets
> say Gomez ended up on that runner.
No kidding?? I guess next thing you\'ll tell me is water is wet??
> You make you\'re best scores with second tier jocks
> most times......
>
> NCT
Debatable. But again, thats not the point. Its real simple Tony. A trainer employing a certain jockey can often times signal intent. That was the only point of the post. Thats it. If you think that a horse getting a new jockey that hits at a 38% win rate for the trainer means nothing....then please play in my pools. Its guys that ignore these moves that helps inflate the price.
\"Debatable. But again, thats not the point. Its real simple Tony. A trainer employing a certain jockey can often times signal intent. That was the only point of the post. Thats it. If you think that a horse getting a new jockey that hits at a 38% win rate for the trainer means nothing....then please play in my pools. Its guys that ignore these moves that helps inflate the price\"
Hi Paul,
How about if that 38% trainer/jock combo is running a confirmed slow rat? I agree with Tony, it\'s the horse first all else second. Don\'t you have the highest regard for how fast a horse is or how fast you feel he will run today as opposed to the trainer/jock combo?
Mike
Add Kent D. to that anchor list. Based on last Sat.,is he in a slump or what?
P-Dub,
You are arguing for argument sake. I am making a completely different point. I just don\'t open up the wallet just because Garret Gomez is on due to trainer intent. (which is a good thing by the way).
Yes Water is wet.
Tell me what Pools your playing in, so long as they are not wet with water.
NCT
Now That performance (Garcia) on Saturday is worth noting and accolades.
NCT
MIke,
I\'m talking about cheaper horses that are in and outers and maidens. I\'m not talking about horses that have clearly established form. I never implied that this is a end all approach or to blindly bet them.
The only comment I was replying to was trainer intent. Thats it. I simply said that trainer intent, the exact words Tony used, can sometimes be signified by the use of certain jockeys. Period. To ignore this IMO is foolish. Its just a piece of the puzzle.
Tony,
Nobody is arguing.
I responded to one comment you made regarding \"trainer intent\". Thats it.
I never said bet a horse because Gomez is riding. Nothing could be further from my point. I simply stated that the use of certain jockeys can signify whether or not a horse is live. Thats it.
It doesn\'t happen every race. It isn\'t meant for Stakes race analysis. But it is a factor in certain races I.e. maiden races, cheaper claimers, etc...
I\'m getting a drink of water.