Race 7
I think this is essentially a two horse race, Sir Lowry and Prussian. I haven\'t seen the morning line yet, but . . .
Sir Lowry - 2/1 Quintessential steadily improving, well managed grass horse.
Prussian - 7/2 Again, well managed, good spacing
I then have the ITM\'s (all about 8/1 or 12/1 or so to win)
Baron Von Tap
Holiday Trip
Broadway Producer
Pennington
6th - Hammock (12-1)
two firm turf runs, two 5.75\'s.
comes in on seven weeks, a strong category for the trainer, draws well, and returns to his preferred going.
5th - Uncle Indy is interesting at 8-1. two runs in the 7 range last year followed by two rough Sar trips. got caught behind a dawdling pace last over the inner and showed little. draws inside here, and could pop a new top with a sweeping 3 wide move over the Mellon.
Tizzy could also hit the board here at long odds (15-1 ml). 10 top last year, and two 8.5 runs this year. McPeek does well of the layoff, and does well with Albarado up (has to be the only one). post 2.
I lke Balletti a little in the 6th. Penna is good off any kind of rest short or long.
Moved up big after the trainer change in the winter/spring. May be ready for another small move.
However will need it and a clean trip. This like all the other races is a tough one.
I like those two in the fifth Michael D and I would add...Yuletide at the m/l price.
I\'m with you on Hammock in the sixth. Is that rail horse really going to be 3-1? Balletti doesn\'t strike me as great value. If it\'s FIRM...I will have to find room for Extra Zip at the price. Maybe Blue Lion a little? Just Julian looks like a threat off AEs. Tough race but could be some huge mutuels, may be worth the spread-out cost.
Looks like the fourth could be nice value too. I don\'t like any of the short priced horses in there. I think Gold Paegentry could move up, back to some of his better ones from last year. Tobruk and Cardiff Road look interesting too, and the latter looks like a win bet for me. May have to find room on the bottom of exotics for Triple Bogey Blues and the...15 if it\'s in.
Good luck. Deep card and how!
HP
Michael D. Wrote:
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> 5th - Uncle Indy is interesting at 8-1. two runs
> in the 7 range last year followed by two rough Sar
> trips. got caught behind a dawdling pace last over
> the inner and showed little. draws inside here,
> and could pop a new top with a sweeping 3 wide
> move over the Mellon.
The switch to Rajiv could make a big difference. He\'s been rock solid riding in NY; he\'s patient and likes hanging by the hedges. Of course sometimes that leads to tough beats (Hard To Explain?..... AAAARGH!)
I\'m gonna double key Hammock 12/1 and Picou 15/1 over several in here.
I\'m taking a shot at some supers with Parc Des Princes 3/1, Big Stick 8/1, Al Nasr Dream 12/1, Extra Zip 15/1, Baletti 7/2 underneath.
Real tough race and I probably should just stay out of it.
I\'m playing a little Pick 3 starting in Race 6 with both Hammock and Picou to Sir Lowry/Prussian/Whata Ya Mean to Indyanne.
Like most players, I enjoy Travers day. May as well get involved, even though the card is tough.
Good luck to all
Al Nasr Dream in 6th has faced good ones in France. Kenneally/Leparoux should be ready first US start.
Nice one HP and Michael D.
I threw the 10 in on top of the three you guys recommended but downsized from a Tri to and Exacta at the last minute.
Ouch again!!!
Howz this. The lowest possible exacta payoff in the 6th race was $60.
Silver Charm Wrote:
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> Nice one HP and Michael D.
>
> I threw the 10 in on top of the three you guys
> recommended but downsized from a Tri to and Exacta
> at the last minute.
>
> Ouch again!!!
re 5th - ouch indeed. I had the 2 and 3 on every exotic ticket, and the 10 underneath on about half. cashed not a penny.
Alan gave out the 2 as well, but was smart enough to save with the 10.
Thanks SC. I did not make a dime. I don\'t feel like I played badly...came close on a few...oh wah wah wah! Yeesh. On some level you have to be a masochist to like this game! HP
What was the last out # on the 10 as his sheet was missing from the book sold at Saratoga
14 then a 9.