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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: BitPlayer on June 06, 2008, 04:20:22 PM

Title: Prospective Belmont Odds
Post by: BitPlayer on June 06, 2008, 04:20:22 PM
These are based on the weighted will-pays (for all the Brooklyn entrants) for the Brooklyn-Belmont double:

Big Brown (2/5)
Gudalcanal (80)
Macho Again (20)
Dennis of Cork (8)
Casino Drive (6)
Da\' Tara (70)
Tale Of Ekati (13)
Anak Nakal (42)
Ready\'s Echo (28)
Icabad Crane (24)
Title: Re: Prospective Belmont Odds
Post by: fkach on June 06, 2008, 05:32:47 PM
Those odds are not shocking based on the news about Casino Drive. It looks like DOC took all the money that left CD.  At the odds, I think I might like MA, IC, and RE a little more than DOC.

To me DOC has been more consistent than it looks this spring. When he got a nice pace in front of him in the Southwest he ran a very good figure. When he had no pace in front of him in the Ill. Derby, he flattened out. Then he got a more honest pace in the Derby and ran somewhere in between with a slightly tougher trip otherwise. His best can win if the pace is honest and BB/CD don\'t fire. But I don\'t see him as so much better than MA, IC, and even RE that you have to key on him at a shorter price.  

IMO TOE is the horse that needs to be thought out properly. To me it looks like he\'s been working up to this race better than he ever has. But he has never looked liked a 10F horse to me, let alone a 12F horse. I have a tough imagining this horse finishing well unless he walks on the lead. I\'d be tempted to leave him out at 13-1 and hope my suspicions about his stamina are correct. If not, he could go a long way. He figures to either get the lead or be sitting right off DaTara until that one folds. So he should get a great trip.
Title: Re: Prospective Belmont Odds
Post by: RICH on June 06, 2008, 06:41:35 PM
doc at 8-1 is disheartening
Title: Re: Prospective Belmont Odds
Post by: MO on June 06, 2008, 07:46:17 PM
Think that\'s bad, wait till post time.......

BB - 4/5
DOC 7-2
Title: Re: Prospective Belmont Odds
Post by: sekrah on June 06, 2008, 08:28:25 PM
Pass what you\'re smoking.

DOC will be double digits to one, guaranteed.
Title: Re: Prospective Belmont Odds
Post by: trackjohn on June 07, 2008, 03:50:09 AM
Not if CD scratches....
Title: Re: Prospective Belmont Odds
Post by: MO on June 07, 2008, 07:06:02 AM
When it\'s legalised, send me a PM. LOL


I knew YESTERDAY that Casino Drive would be scratched. Word spread like wildfire at Monmouth Park and then TVG confirmed it. Only later that evening did the trainer make up some BS that CD would run.