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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: horseprofiler on June 06, 2008, 06:14:47 AM

Title: Big Brown draws away in the stretch
Post by: horseprofiler on June 06, 2008, 06:14:47 AM
Big Brown will win because he will track the leaders and save ground inside. Then he will move outside on the stretch turn and power down the stretch. Something weird will have to happen for him to lose. I think the first mile of the Belmont will go in about one minute and thirty six seconds. That will be easy for Big Brown. He will turn it on in the stretch as Desormeaux lets him have his head. Look at the first comment of his first race, \"ran away when roused\". This horse has a turn of foot. We haven\'t seen his best yet.
     Running three long races in five weeks is the downfall of many good horses. Big Brown is a \"great\" horse. He will prove it tomorrow. Good luck to all.
Title: Re: Big Brown draws away in the stretch
Post by: MO on June 06, 2008, 07:49:08 PM
Desormeaux is going to send BB and try to float those other speed horses wide on the 1st turn because the rail will be dead and he can\'t afford to get boxed in. Take that to the bank.
Title: Re: Big Brown draws away in the stretch
Post by: sekrah on June 06, 2008, 08:29:39 PM
If the rail is dead, this is a TERRIBLE strategy.. would be far better to gun for the lead and move him off the rail or sit behind the leaders off the rail.
Title: Re: Big Brown draws away in the stretch
Post by: flushedstraight on June 06, 2008, 08:49:47 PM
sekrah Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> If the rail is dead, this is a TERRIBLE strategy..
> would be far better to gun for the lead and move
> him off the rail or sit behind the leaders off the
> rail.


\"send BB and try to float those other speed horses wide on the 1st turn\"
=
\"gun for the lead and move him off the rail\"

no?

You can pass that over here now.
Title: Re: Big Brown draws away in the stretch
Post by: sekrah on June 06, 2008, 09:12:53 PM
You seriously think the lead is going to be THAT hard to get??  Very little early speed in this race.
Title: Re: Big Brown draws away in the stretch
Post by: MO on June 07, 2008, 07:13:17 AM
BB is head and shoulders above this field. It\'s an unwritten rule in racing that if you have a horse like BB - THE BEST HORSE, you put him on the lead (if he has any speed) and let the pigs try and catch him. Kent is NOT going to play games here. He\'s going to try and put this field away early. Doesn\'t mean he will succeed. But I\'ll bet that\'s the plan.