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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: BitPlayer on February 07, 2008, 06:18:59 AM

Title: Next year's BC also at Santa Anita?
Post by: BitPlayer on February 07, 2008, 06:18:59 AM
From the LA Times:

Santa Anita could host Breeders\' Cup in 2009
The track will host the event this year and officials are confident about Thursday\'s announcement.

February 7, 2008

The site of the 2009 Breeders\' Cup will be announced today, and Santa Anita officials are confident their facility will get the nod. If that is the case, it would mean back-to-back Breeders\' Cups for the Arcadia facility during the fall Oak Tree meeting there.

\"I think we\'re the leading candidate,\" said Allen Gutterman, the track\'s vice president of marketing.

Sherwood \"Chilli\" Chillingworth, executive vice president and director of the Oak Tree Racing Assn., also expressed optimism in getting the bid.

\"This year, we\'ll host the first Breeders\' Cup to be run on a synthetic track,\" he said, \"and next year we\'d be the first to host back-to-back Breeders\' Cups.\"

This year\'s Breeders\' Cup is scheduled for Oct. 24-25.

That gives Santa Anita plenty of time to fix the problems it has been having with its new synthetic surface, or replace it.

Repair work is underway to repair the track\'s drainage problem that has contributed to eight racing days being lost during the winter meet that began Dec. 26.

The original plan was to have the job done in time to resume racing Friday, but a heavier-than-expected rain Sunday delayed the start of the project.

Santa Anita President Ron Charles said a decision on whether to begin racing Friday or wait until Saturday won\'t be made until today.
Title: Re: Next year's BC also at Santa Anita?
Post by: fkach on February 07, 2008, 07:06:16 AM
If this wasn\'t horse racing, I\'d assume this article came from The Onion, but I\'m going to assume it\'s serious and just ROTFLMAO.
Title: Re: Next year's BC also at Santa Anita?
Post by: cubfan0316 on February 07, 2008, 08:17:44 AM
the onion, what a great magazine. classic
Title: Re: Next year's BC also at Santa Anita?
Post by: richiebee on February 07, 2008, 10:33:29 AM
It sounds wacky at first, but then you reflect and realize that 2 of the other
candidates to host the event are Gulfstream (altered by \"the visionary\" to the
extent that it can not accomodate a large live gate) and Belmont (hard to talk
about NY racing and any event in the future; NY racing may have no future).

Speaking of the BC, now that it is basically a 2 day event, has the NTRA or DRF
considered basing its signature handicapping event on the BC races?
Title: Re: Next year's BC also at Santa Anita?
Post by: colt on February 07, 2008, 11:36:49 AM
Richiebee,

Trying to tie-in the NTRA/DRF handicapping championship with the 2-day Breeders Cup is called – "thinking outside of the Box".  Racing administrators in this country never heard of that concept - "thinking outside of the Box".
Title: Re: Next year's BC also at Santa Anita?
Post by: fkach on February 07, 2008, 11:54:45 AM
>It sounds wacky at first, but then you reflect and realize that 2 of the other
candidates to host the event are Gulfstream (altered by \"the visionary\" to the
extent that it can not accomodate a large live gate) and Belmont (hard to talk
about NY racing and any event in the future; NY racing may have no future). <

I think perhaps this makes my point even more. ;-)
Title: Re: Next year's BC also at Santa Anita?
Post by: Thehoarsehorseplayer on February 07, 2008, 12:20:39 PM
Well, running both events the same weekend seems like a logistical nightmare to me, but there should be some tie-in  between the Breeder\'s Cup and the DRF/NTRA Handicapping Championship.

May I suggest a promotion where track patrons from across the country are randomly chosen to participate in a contest to be held during the Breeder\'s Cup with the winner receiving a berth to the DRF/NTRA showdown.

You find a sponsor, give patrons at all participating tracks entry forms every time they come to the track, and pick a winner from each track to go to the Breeder\'s Cup.  On Friday, all winners participate in the contest, but by Saturday only the top three are alive.  And before every race they make their choices as part of the television coverage and the whole country gets to watch a contest unfold; to identify with the contestants and root for a winner.

And someone to follow come January when the Championship takes place
Title: Re: Next year's BC also at Santa Anita?
Post by: richiebee on February 07, 2008, 12:39:57 PM
Colt:

While I am outside of the box, let me renew my yearly plea that a venue in
Europe, primarily England or Ireland, be made part of the BC rotation, so that
the Breeder\'s Cup would be run every fourth or so year in Europe, with all of
the events to be run on grass.

The time zone logistics are daunting, but the reward every fourth year would
be a challenging and fully subscribed wagering card. An entire card of runners
sans bute lasix and whatever.

On the years when the BC is held in a Eurovenue, one of the US tracks would be
able to host a year end championship for horses on whatever non- turf surface
is currently in use or hold a day of championships on dirt and some synthetic
surface. (It is only a matter of time before a major venue utilizes traditional
dirt and synth during the same meet; Aqueduct would be a great candidate for
this, with the beloved \"inner tube\" being replaced with the super safe \"Mattress
Track\" now being developed by Sealy).
Title: Re: Next year's BC also at Santa Anita?
Post by: trackjohn on February 07, 2008, 01:47:53 PM
It\'s true...BC will be held at Oak Tree/SA 2008 AND 2009
Title: Re: Next year's BC also at Santa Anita?
Post by: richiebee on February 07, 2008, 02:00:42 PM
Even Stevie Wonder can see what happens next... the right money finds the right people and BINGO soon you will be reading BC folks will decree all future BCs to be run on synthetic. Give the BC to Woodbine 2010 and Arlington 2011.

Have we seen the last traditional dirt BC races?
Title: Re: Next year's BC also at Santa Anita?
Post by: Ron G. on February 07, 2008, 03:42:11 PM
Have to think the probable nice weather a big factor in having at Santa Anita next two years.
Title: Re: Next year's BC also at Santa Anita?
Post by: NoCarolinaTony on February 07, 2008, 04:28:41 PM
You could even throw KEENELAND in the Mix at that point.

NC Tony
Title: Re: Next year's BC also at Santa Anita?
Post by: marcus on February 07, 2008, 07:15:35 PM
That makes a lot of sense -  even TP\'s a beautiful track . They could swing one over to KD to keep the Europeans interested and if they win a couple , maybe they\'ll breed them back around to some North American stock . What i like the very least about west coast tracks is never being able to find a Saturday morning line on Thursday night ...
Title: Re: Next year's BC also at Santa Anita?
Post by: P-Dub on February 08, 2008, 12:11:39 AM
Can we agree that all synthetics aren\'t alike??

To lump Cushion, Tapeta, amd Poly together is unfair.  The Hollywood CT played fairly to all styles, same as the Tapeta.  OTH Poly is a disaster, favoring late runners and severely penalizes front runners.

The SA surface problems can be fixed. Obviously it was poorly installed. How fair was the Monmouth slop???
Title: Re: Next year's BC also at Santa Anita?
Post by: richiebee on February 08, 2008, 02:07:55 AM
P-Dub:

I will agree that of all the synthetic surfaces installed the only real
problems have been at SA and Turfway. In most other venues you can generally
give a thumbs up to the synthetic experience.

I also think that dirt racing is still a major part of racing in the US and
the notion that all of the next 4 or 5 BCs could be run on synthetic is not a
rational or logical one.

My favorite Raider-- hometown hero #49, Mike Siani,backing up Freddie B and
Cliff Branch at wide receiver.
Title: Re: Next year's BC also at Santa Anita?
Post by: fkach on February 08, 2008, 06:07:23 AM
I agree that all synthetics are not alike, but they are alike in one very important way. They aren\'t dirt and form does not translate nearly as well from dirt to synthetic as it does on various dirt surfaces.

I\'m not some hot shot owner, but if I was in that position and I had a top dirt horse, there is very little chance I would ship from NY out to SA for a BC \"dirt\" race unless I already had strong evidence my horse liked synthetics. Why risk the horse\'s reputation and value?  If he loses, people won\'t be as willing to  acknowledge that he may not have liked the surface the way they would if I took a shot on turf.

The same goes for prepping for the Triple Crown. I might run at SA once. I certainly would be willing train there, but the SA Derby would be totally out of the question. I\'d want to know exactly where my horse was and how much ability he had on dirt before making any decisions about the Derby. Why complicate the training and the information you have with synthetic form?

Heck, if I owned Hysterical Lady or Lava Man and intended on running them I\'d be on the phone with new trainers getting ready to ship them out of town.
Title: Re: Next year's BC also at Santa Anita?
Post by: trackjohn on February 08, 2008, 06:51:32 AM
Richie:

 Unbelievable!!! Mike was the Raiders #1 pick in 71\'...I played baseball on SI with Mike prior to him attending Villanova. BTW his brother Dan, was a very good handicapper back in the mid-70\'s!!
Title: How to succeed at racetrack management without really trying . . .
Post by: dodie on February 08, 2008, 07:39:52 AM
Or is it how to succeed at racetrack management by doing everything you can to eff things up and demonstrate your arrogance, hubris, and incompetence.  How do you get the plum (arguably, but it is the only race meeting that isn\'t based at one specific track) Breeder\'s Cup meeting at your track?  Twice in a row?  Simply demonstrate your incompetence installing a new racing surface.  Hell, we\'ll even give it to you an unprecedented 2 years in a row.  We\'ll even announce the decision while you\'re trying to correct your mistakes.  That way, the general media can shine a spotlight on how dysfunctional the industry is.  Not only can they not install a racing surface correctly, but we\'ll reward them for it!   Talk about drawing attention to your mistakes!  Couldn\'t they have waited even 2 weeks to announce SA got the BC again?  At least the SA management could\'ve had the opportunity to show they\'d corrected their mistakes.  Horse racing makes the Bluth\'s look like the model family.
  Lone Star, why did you go to all that effort to get the BC?  You should\'ve just replaced your grass course with broken glass and the BC would\'ve awarded you the BC in perpetuity.
Title: Re: How to succeed at racetrack management without really trying . . .
Post by: Thehoarsehorseplayer on February 08, 2008, 08:35:11 AM
Maybe the logic is: the angrier you get at track management, the more you realize the only reason to be in this game is to make a lot of money, which forces you to bet more money to justify your participation, which boosts the handle.

Somewhere track executives sit around laughing, \"Hate us?  Bet their sweet little asses the public hates us.\"
Title: Re: Next year's BC also at Santa Anita?
Post by: P-Dub on February 08, 2008, 09:35:55 AM
fkach Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> I agree that all synthetics are not alike, but
> they are alike in one very important way. They
> aren\'t dirt and form does not translate nearly as
> well from dirt to synthetic as it does on various
> dirt surfaces.

Hollywood didn\'t get a new horse population when they switched surfaces.  I didn\'t notice many horses not translating form there.  Thought the track was pretty fair, and not a front runners paradise.
>
> I\'m not some hot shot owner, but if I was in that
> position and I had a top dirt horse, there is very
> little chance I would ship from NY out to SA for a
> BC \"dirt\" race unless I already had strong
> evidence my horse liked synthetics. Why risk the
> horse\'s reputation and value?  If he loses, people
> won\'t be as willing to  acknowledge that he may
> not have liked the surface the way they would if I
> took a shot on turf.

Why not?? Why would people not acknowledge the potential dislike for the surface switch??  You already have with your Hysterical Lady/Lava Man references.  Skipping the Breeders\' Cup?? Not gonna happen.
>
> The same goes for prepping for the Triple Crown. I
> might run at SA once. I certainly would be willing
> train there, but the SA Derby would be totally out
> of the question. I\'d want to know exactly where my
> horse was and how much ability he had on dirt
> before making any decisions about the Derby. Why
> complicate the training and the information you
> have with synthetic form?

Agreed,  only because of the poor condition of the current surface.
>
> Heck, if I owned Hysterical Lady or Lava Man and
> intended on running them I\'d be on the phone with
> new trainers getting ready to ship them out of
> town.

Current surface problems have been well chronicled.  Times are a joke.  But if properly installed, the jury is still out as to whether or not they can run on Cushion.  With large purses and GR 1 status up for grabs, not sure if I would. Whens the last time LM shipped well??

Fkach, I love your passion on this subject.  But at times you seem to let emotion rule your thoughts.

Richiebee,
Siani was a solid 3rd receiver, didn\'t drop many. Wasn\'t he a Villanova guy?? I attended hundreds of A\'s/Raider games in the 70\'s.  The \'74 playoff game against Miami (famous Sea of Hands catch) still ranks as the greatest game I\'ve seen in person. I still remember that day as if it were yesterday.

Going to SA for the guys annual Big Cap trip,  will they have the surface changed by then??
Title: What is the Breeders' Cup thinking?
Post by: BitPlayer on February 08, 2008, 09:48:00 AM
From what I\'ve read, the Breeders\' Cup is akin to an NFL franchise: it\'s not a gift the BC bestows on a worthy recipient; it is sold to the bidder who offers the most.  I\'ve read that Churchill Downs, Inc. doesn\'t think the BC is a particularly good deal for a track on the terms currently being offered.  In the case of Santa Anita, the bidder is not profit-driven Magna, but the Oak Tree charitable trust, which may be less concerned about driving a hard bargain.

It\'s hard for me to decipher what the BC is thinking.  Santa Anita is probably a good economic deal for them.  Further, if they\'re trying to build a more international event, California seems to be able to draw both from Europe and from Asia, and a synthetic surface may be for attractive than dirt to overseas runners bred for turf.

On the flip side, it is the BREEDERS\' Cup, and the synthetic surfaces are a threat to turn stallion values upside down.  One would think the breeders, of all people, would want to proceed slowly.  Maybe, with Gulfstream, CD, and NYRA out of the picture, the BC just didn\'t have a lot of good dirt options.  In any event, the timing of the Santa Anita announcement could certainly have been better.
Title: Re: What is the Breeders' Cup thinking?
Post by: miff on February 08, 2008, 11:49:54 AM
Bit,

You hit on something that some may not know. The BC is no bargain or profit maker for the selected venue and the tracks that need to make a profit are not jumping up and down to get it except for the smaller venue\'s looking to be more mainstream.

Like most of racing, the BC Management team is nothing special as executives go.


Mike
Title: Re: What is the Breeders' Cup thinking?
Post by: miff on February 09, 2008, 05:43:58 AM
JB,

Hope you don\'t mind this post.


By STEVEN CRIST
 
NEW YORK - The announcement Thursday that the Breeders\' Cup will be run at Santa Anita in both 2008 and 2009 was not a proud moment for American racing. It betrayed the history and ideals of the event and cast an unfortunately accurate picture of a dysfunctional industry that is in crisis on several fronts.

While Cup officials are bravely maintaining that this is a positive experiment that may provide some marketing benefits, those involved in the process concede privately that they were making the best of a bad situation.

The 2009 Cup had been expected to go to either Belmont Park or Churchill Downs, which last hosted it in 2005 and 2006, respectively. The Cup is supposed to move around the country, generally rotating among California, Kentucky, and New York with an additional track outside that axis (such as Arlington, Lone Star, or Monmouth in recent years) completing the lineup.

Instead, neither Belmont nor Churchill was awarded the 2009 Cup, for different disturbing reasons.

Cup officials say that the New York Racing Association\'s all-consuming efforts to get its franchise renewed prevented it from seeking the 2009 event, and that the Cup board did not feel comfortable awarding it to a track that is in bankruptcy and subsisting on a series of three-week renewals.

Churchill\'s case is just as discouraging. Officials of the publicly held company reportedly have been seeking a higher revenue stream from the event - the Breeders\' Cup basically rents your facility for the price of what you would make on an ordinary Friday and Saturday - and were unable to come to terms on a richer deal with Breeders\' Cup. So we have the nation\'s iconic Derby racetrack essentially refusing to host the sport\'s year-end championships, something once considered an honor, because of a disagreement over hot-dog and souvenir commissions.

And some people wonder why sponsors and broadcasters don\'t consider racing a major league sport.

It\'s also entirely unclear why the venue for a November 2009 event had to be announced 21 months in advance. A deal renewing NYRA\'s franchise could be in place by this week, and it\'s hard to believe that another month of discussion might not have yielded a palatable deal with Churchill Downs. The official explanation, that there was a Breeders\' Cup board meeting scheduled for last Thursday and that it always helps to have as much time as possible for advance planning, is not particularly compelling. It\'s difficult to believe that only 19 or 20 months\' notice, rather than 21, would have hampered the 2009 event.

The timing is all the stranger given Santa Anita\'s ongoing drainage problems with its Cushion Track. There is little doubt that it will be repaired by this October, much less the following November, and everyone denies vehemently that the 2009 award was a precursor to relocating this year\'s Cup. Still, it seems odd to tell the world with pride that you\'re running your championships for an unprecedented two straight years over a track that has been unsuitable for racing most of this year. Why not hold off on the decision until after the repairs have been made instead of ratifying and releasing it the same day that Santa Anita announced yet another cancellation?

Cushion Track itself is another reason the choice of back-to-back Santa Anita Breeders\' Cups is an unfortunate one. Regardless of how one feels about artificial surfaces, their introduction into American racing is clearly having its growing pains. No one can say with any confidence whether a decade from now they will be widely used and beloved, used for training rather than racing, or have been relegated to the scrap heap of noble failures. Nor has there been enough top-grade racing on these surfaces to say whether they are the fair and proper venues on which to conduct the sport\'s richest races and determine its champions. The premature and haphazard way they have been foisted upon the sport has left everyone in a state of confusion.

Running the 2008 races on Cushion Track was already an iffy proposition, and deciding this early to do it two years in a row is an unwarranted leap of faith. No track should be given consecutive Breeders\' Cups, regardless of whether it\'s in California or New York or somewhere in between, but at this juncture in history it is even worse to schedule two straight Cups on a new and unproven synthetic surface.

Perhaps the saddest thing of all is that once Belmont and Churchill were deemed unsuitable candidates for 2009, there apparently was not a single alternative among the more than 100 other racetracks in America. There\'s something to be said for holding the event in the largest possible media market, but whatever tiny gains might accrue on the marketing side seem smaller than what is being lost in the way of the fairness and credibility of the racing itself.
Title: Re: Next year's BC also at Santa Anita?
Post by: fkach on February 09, 2008, 07:23:00 AM
P-DUB

Just because a surface is reasonably honest to all running styles does not mean that all horses like it the same as dirt. IMO lots of horses move up and down on all the synthetics even if some tend to impact form more than others.

IMO, any time you throw your horse on a surface he may not like you are potentially wasting an effort and a chance to earn some money. If you have a reason to think he will prefer it (training, pedigree etc..) or think a win will enhance his value without jeapordizing it if he loses that\'s another matter.

But I don\'t think people excuse a loss on artificial as easily as they do a loss on turf (at least yet) because the industry is promoting the fantasy that these artifical tracks are a dirt substitute when in fact they are something entirely different. So IMO, there is potential loss of value if your top horse runs poorly.

For example, I thought Hysterical Lady was a good value in the BC because I was already convinced she wasn\'t as good on the new tracks and would move up at MTH. The only thing that prevented me punching a major bet was her post. She just went back to Cushion and I am reading articles where people are shocked that she ran subpar again.  I wasn\'t expecting that bad an effort (maybe she got hurt I don\'t know), but I expected her form to deteriorate again.

This kind of thing extends to training for the Triple Crown. If you don\'t agree with me that some horses dislike the stuff and others move up, there is no discussion. But if you agree, my personal preference would be to know exactly where my horse\'s condition was and what his current ability was on dirt during the prep phase. I think the artifical surfaces would cloud my own ability to analyze and handle my horses properly. So I would avoid races like the SA Derby with my first string. I might send a 3rd stringer out there to take a shot at the big purse and probable weak race and pray he moved up, but I\'d never run my 1st stringer in that race.  

If this stuff turns out to be a success, so be it. I am just pointing out that if I was in a postion to make decisions with valuable horses, I would be shipping all my best dirt horses out of CA (unless I knew they loved the stuff based on training) and I might consider shipping some of my best turfers out there because it might open up some additional options if any of them moved up on it in training (if not there is plenty of great turf racing out there anyway).