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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: JohnTChance on April 09, 2007, 08:25:14 AM

Title: COBALT BLUE...
Post by: JohnTChance on April 09, 2007, 08:25:14 AM
Merv Griffin produced the game show Jeopardy. So, with a tip of the cap to Merv, here\'s a question for a future episode:

Answer: COBALT BLUE

Question: What colt was a VERY bad bet in the 2007 Illinois Derby?

I couldn\'t believe it when, with 25 minutes to post in the Illinois Derby, COBALT BLUE\'s odds first-flashed at 4-5! ThoroGraphically-speaking, the colt did not warrant those odds. His last race, a wire-to-wire rail-all winning effort at Santa Anita came back a slow ThoroGraph 7. After that race, the colt\'s owner, Merv Griffin, was interviewed and the colt got hyped up. To me, COBALT BLUE was as bad a favorite as I\'ve seen in a while.

Who was betting COBALT BLUE? Merv and the boys? Raggies? Did the colt have a completely different Ragozin pattern, as has happened so often in the past? It wouldn\'t be the first time the ThoroGraphs and Rags painted a different picture. Or, had the the colt been injected before the race? Was that behind the tote action? Whatever. COBALT BLUE was never a factor.

The painfully obvious COWTOWN CAT won easily. How could he go off at as much as 7-2? Preposterous. More preposterous was that the Pletcher-Asmussen exacta paid $117.20.

JTC
Title: Re: COBALT BLUE...
Post by: TGJB on April 09, 2007, 09:40:27 AM
John-- interesting to note that O\' Neill ran short priced horses in the Ill Derby, Ashland, and SA Derby, and not one fired at all. Liquidity running that bad was a real shocker.
Title: Re: COBALT BLUE...
Post by: miff on April 09, 2007, 11:20:24 AM
\" It wouldn\'t be the first time the ThoroGraphs and Rags painted a different picture\"


JTC,

Check out Smokey Stovers Jan 27th fig if you want to see a different picture painted.

1.Beyer gave 113, adjust for ground and weight and it equals app a negative 6 1/2- on TG.

2.Rags gave Negative 3-ish(I heard) equals app neg 7- on TG.

3.TG fig was Neg 3-


If true( cant confirm rags fig) I think it may be one of the fastest performances by a sprinter on Rags.

As for Cobalt Blue, Beyer had it faster than a TG 7(beyer had it app TG 3) don\'t know RAGS fig for Cobalt.


Mike
Title: Re: COBALT BLUE...
Post by: fkach on April 09, 2007, 01:59:18 PM
I believe this is part of the continuing saga of Rag and Beyer having CA figures higher than TG.
Title: Re: COBALT BLUE...
Post by: Chuckles_the_Clown2 on April 09, 2007, 05:00:39 PM
Having Red Boarded the Race, I can\'t believe any loyal TFigs devotee would have  wagered a dime on Cobalt Blue.

TGJB Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> John-- interesting to note that O\' Neill ran short
> priced horses in the Ill Derby, Ashland, and SA
> Derby, and not one fired at all. Liquidity running
> that bad was a real shocker.