will take on NY Bred, Lawrence the Roman in the Whirlaway at Aqueduct. Prado will be in town to ride for Dutrow.Sports Town,as noted by another T-Grapher, has been most impressive in the AM with a few 12 and change works. Terranova stated this horse is comfortable rating behind horses in the AM.Might be worth a look against a very heavy favorite Roman/Prado stepping out of the NY Bred ranks for the first time.
Anyone lucky enough to have a show ticket from the Whirlaway on Saturday?
6 Horse field,Dutrow\'s 1/2 shot finishing out of the money.
3/1 winner Paid 8.20 show
16/1 shot 2nd Paid 19.80 show
4/1 shot third Paid 15.40 show
These were the top 3 betting interests outside the favorite.
The things people will do to earn 5 cents on the dollar. Any idea how big the losing show bet was?
If memory served, I think the total show pool was ~ $83,000. Don\'t know how much of that belongs to one betting interest.
Some fool bet 75k to show.Not because LTR ran out, but how do make a play that must win 20 out of 21 times to be even(Assuming $2.10 Payoff)
The thing you know for sure about a person who does this is that they don\'t understand horseracing. As stated above in this thread, you have to be right every time and the nature of this game precludes that.
And what was Edgar Prado thinking to come up and ride a NY-bred in open competition in a $65,000 race when there were so many more lucrative opportunities elsewhere?
Bally,
Dutrow is strong with Prado and Tricky was really in love with the horse going in.The fact that he never beat much was of little concern.Interesting that Larry Roman(the human) let Mike Sherack off the hook cancelling the recent controlling interest purchase, after the race.The horse vetted ok(i heard) but giving the money back??...hmmmm interesting.
The people who fool with the show pool really have big \"ones\" and small brains, imo.
Mike
Some of those high percentage/low payoff bets can make sense if there\'s a rebate involved or a small enough field to dutch. However, $2.10 doesn\'t typically get a rebate. So obiovusly, you are going to have to cash a huge percentage of your bets to earn somewhere between 1%-3% on your money over the long haul (given that some are going to lose). IMO, this was a really bad one to take given that he wired an incredibly weak field of statebreds on a favorable rail day in his last start and was overrated going in. I thought he\'d run better than he did and probably even win, but as a $2.10 show bet IMO he was a poor choice.
Lets see...
A guy sells a controlling interest in a colt (a colt he named after himself
no less). Then lets say said guy has serious second thoughts about said sale,
but the ink is already dry.
A piss poor race by said colt,and said guy agrees that the sale be voided.
This stinks to me.
It would only really stink if said horse can really run.
NC Tony
...in a perfect world, they put the arm on him for another race or two, and then
he wins a Derby prep at a huge mutuel...
Wouldn\'t it be great if the IEAH people got beat twice, both buying AND selling
this colt?
Bee,
Don\'t think it\'s a betting coup type of thing.Word is that Tricky thought he had a legit TC runner.Tricky doesn\'t think he\'s as \"national\"a name as he deserves and aspires to be. A serious late DD wager was reportedly made by the entourage with LTR and the 9th race winner.A legit TC runner is worth far more than a betting coup, no?
This is a tough one to figure on a couple of levels:
1. Tricky\'s horses rarely run badly when he is high on them and the added front bandages were rundowns because LTR got a little rashy after a recent work.
2. The return of the money to Mike Sherack is very strange and I do not buy the story that Larry Roman felt \"bad\" about the horses performance and that\'s why he did it.
I think there may be more to this but probably just another horse story in a sometimes rather shady business.
Mike
Miff:
Hopefully owner Roman learned one valuable lesson--
You take out the self congratulatory full page ad in the DRF AFTER your horse
wins the race,not the day of the race.
I wonder if DRF offered Roman his money back.
Calling the horse business \"rather shady\" is kind of like calling Yul Brynner
\"rather bald\"
As I remember it, the ad mentioned the word \"humble\". Right, you take out a full page ad in the DRF to show your humility.