CONTEST/HP entry – Belmont Sat. July 13
1) Patti’s Pro
Master O Foxhounds
Ce Bon Ce Bon
2) Mint Money
Jimmielee
All Geared Up
3) Stroll
Chimney Slew
Henresa
4) Soldotna
River Rush
Island Guide
5) Devilish Look
La Pro
Pretty Brassy
6) Pocket Knife
Sharps N’ Flats
Run Up The Flag
If scratches add – Buck’s Country Fred
Baryshnikov’s Song
If on dirt
Buck’s Country Fred
Baryshnikov’s Song
Sharps N’ Flats
If scratches add - Run Up The Flag
7) Gilded Emperor
Marhoob
My Cousin Matt
If on dirt
Strandhill
My Cousin Matt
Duality
8) Startac
Gritty Sandie
Whitmore’s Conn
If on dirt
Whitmore’s Conn
Startac
Staging Point
9) Silk Drawers
Irish Rail
Stormy Lustre
If scratches add – Carson Grove
Good luck. HP
1st:Patti\'s Pro
Master O Foxhounds
Above The Crowd
Scratch Alt:Distant Dibo
2nd:Herecomesthewarden
All Geared Up
Aeras
ScAlt:Jimmelee
3rd:Stroll
My Mystery Man
Pretty Wild
ScAlt:Henersa
4th:Sovereign Kit
Island Guide
River Rush
ScAlt:Soldotna
5th:Devilish Look
Pretty Brassy
Whispered Call
ScAlt:Little Lori Lu
6th:Sharps\'N Flats
Pocket Knife
Run Up The Flag
ScAlt:Baryshnikov\'s Song
7th:Duality
Ballet Critic
Marhoob
ScAlt:Gilded Emperor
8th:Staging Post
Illusionary
Moon Solitaire
ScAlt:Startac
9th:Sunsational Julia
Silk Drawers
Irish Rail
ScAlt:Polish Donut
I assume that if there is a scratch of a 1st selection, then the 2nd selection moves up to 1st, the 3rd selection moves up to 2nd,etc. Any other system would make no sense.
Race 1
1. Patti\'s Pro
2. Master O
3. Above t Crowd
Scratch
4. Ce Bon
5. Wild Look
Race 2
1. Smart Tap
2. Red
3. Mint Money
Scratch
4. HCTWarden
5. Jim
Race 3
1. Stroll
2. Chimney
3. Mystery
Scratch
4. Point Given (hope not)
5. Savannah
Race 4
1. Island G
2. Soldotna
3. River Rush
Scratch
4. Sovereign K
5. BB Hounor
Race 5
1. Pretty Brassy
2. La Pro
3. Devilish L
Scratch
4. Whisper C
5. Dynamic P
Race 6
1. Sharps n F
2. Pocket Knife
3. Run up TF
Scratch
4. Nonneg
5. New Paradigm
Race 7
1. Gilded E
2. Duality
3. Marhoob
Scratch
4. My Cousin
5. Ballet C
Race 8
1. Gritty San
2. Moon S
3. Startac
Scratch
4. Staging Post
5. Elta
Race 9
1. Silk Drawers
2. Irish Rail
3. Sun Julia
Scratches
4. Mc Lady
5. My Girl Nessa
forecast is good; assuming all turf races stay on....if not, I lose.
Sorry, forgot the rules.... my #4 choice is valid in case of scratches. My #5 pick will not count, even if two of my picks are scratched.
Since this is a braindead contest, let\'s use a braindead approach.
R1
Master o Foxhounds
Pattis Pro
Above the Crowd
alt: Ce Bon Ce Bon
R2
Herecomesthewarden
Houston\'s Wicked
All Geared Up
alt: Red\'s Red
R3
Chimney Slew
Stroll
Pretty Wild
alt: Midnight Charlie
R4
Island Guide
River Rush
Sovereign Kit
alt: Soldotna
R5
Devilish Look
Pretty Brassy
La Pro
alt: Begateful
R6
Run Up The Flag
Pocket Knife
Sharps N Flats
alt: Nonnegotiable
R7
Gilded Emperor
Dualty
Suave Devil
alt: Marhoob
R8
Staging Post
Moon Solitaire
Startac
alt: Eltawaasul
R9
Irish Rail
Silk Drawers
Mac Lady
alt: Polish Donut
With the obligatory meaningless commentary:
Race 1:
1 Master O Foxhounds (May be food for the foxhounds after this race)
6 Above the Crowd
2 Wild Look
3 Heffreius
Race 2:
3 Smart Tap (Somebody has to win)
1 Mint Money
6 Houston\'s Wicked
5 Herecomesthewarden
Race 3:
8 Stroll (Best bet in a cakewalk)
5 Pretty Wild
2 Savannah Road (great numbers for a first timer)
2B Blakelock
Race 4:
3 Sovereign Kit (Nunzio\'s Waterloo)
2 River Rush
7 Island Guide (sorry, Nunzio)
5 Soldotna
Race 5:
7 Devilish Look (Ouchy but dangerous)
1 Little Lori Lu
8 Begateful
4 Pretty Brassy
Race 6:
2 Nonnegotiable (Negotiates a win)
1 New Paradigm
6 Baryshnikov\'s Song
4 Pocket Knife
1A Pleasant Success (in case of a double scratch)
Race 7:
2 Ballet Critic (Pirhouettes to victory)
1 Marhoob
6 Gilded Emperor
3 Strandhill
Race 8:
6 Moon Solitaire (Alone under the wire)
5 Startac
8 Whitmore\'s Conn
4 Staging Post
Race 9:
6 Silk Drawers (Will love the feel of winning)
7 Irish Rail
8 Polish Donut
3 My Girl Nessa
R1: PATTIS PRO
ABOVE THE CROWD
MASTER O
alt:CE BON
R2:AERAS
MINT MONEY
REDS RED
alt:HOUSTONS WICKED
R3:SAVANNAH ROAD
MY MYSTERY
CHIMNEY S.
alt:BLAKELOCK
R4:ISLAND GUIDE
ROVER
RIVER RUSH
alt:TREASURED GIFT
R5:LITTLE LORI LU
DEVILISH L.
JETTALYM
alt:LA PRO
R6:NONNEGOTIABLE
RUN UP THE FLAG
SHARPS N FLATS
alt:POCKET K.
R7:DUALITY
MY COUSIN M.
GLIDED EMPEROR
alt:BALLET CRITIC
R8:STAGING POST
STARTAC
GRITTY S.
alt:PROUD MAN
R9:SLIK DRAWERS
POLISH DONUT
MAC LADY
alt:IRISH RAIL
I would be interested in hearing your analysis on race four. I made Island Guide my best bet of the day. Of course there is the chance of JR stealing the race like he so often does, but if IG runs back to his last 1M race, he should run by them all in the stretch. IG win, ex box w/RR ? What was your thinking here? Thx
This was for DP
For Sheets and Giggles....
Race 1
Patti\'s Pro
Above the Crowd
Ce Bon Ce Bon
Wild Look
Race 2
All Geared Up
Smart Tap
Herecomesthewarden
Houston\'s Wicked
Race 3
Stroll
Pretty WIld
Chimney Slew
Point Taken
Race 4
Island Guide
Soldotna
Sovereign Kit
River Rush
Race 5
Devilish Look
Little Lori Lu
La Pro
Pretty Brassy
Race 6
Baryshnikov\'s Song
Nonnegotiable
Pleasant Success
Pocket Knife
Race 7
Gilded Emperor
Ballet Critic
Duality
Strandhill
Race 8
Moon Solitaire
Startac
Staging Post
Whitmore\'s Conn
Race 9
Silk Drawers
Irish Rail
Polish Donut
My Girl Nessa
Now, off to the track!!
Jerry, JR.
Michael,
My thoughts on Island Guide were that the horse was ouchy (significant bounce off of the last 7 with time and then an even bigger gap before todays race) and thus very unlikely to run back to the 7s. Take away the 7s and he had a bunch of 11s and 13s with one 9. There were several other horses with a good chance to run a 10 or better and given my negative read on his line figured him as third most likely to win. I was right about Island Guide but wrong about the winner.