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General Category => Ask the Experts => Topic started by: Silver Charm on August 11, 2006, 09:37:48 AM

Title: ROTW
Post by: Silver Charm on August 11, 2006, 09:37:48 AM
What will it be.

I will be downloading a Create-a-Card heavily weighted towards Arlington.
Title: Re: ROTW
Post by: TGAB on August 11, 2006, 10:46:35 AM
The A. G. Vanderbilt from Sar 8/12/6.
Title: Re: ROTW
Post by: flushedstraight on August 11, 2006, 03:00:39 PM
good to see Mig get a super-live one here, and good luck to anyone trying to beat him
Title: Re: ROTW
Post by: spa on August 11, 2006, 04:33:31 PM
3/1/2 and 3/2/1
Title: Re: ROTW
Post by: curly on August 11, 2006, 10:07:23 PM
I expect a bounce off that last race with the 1... the horse ran the best race it has of the year and i would tend to think it would react to it...

I dont like MM at such short odds and not in top form..

The 3 looks to be the horse to beat.. hasn\'t ever done a thing wrong and has plenty of rest with a hot trainer and the fastest coming in the race..

the 4 is completely off form and would need a huge turnaround to even come close here

the 5 horse is comin in the 2nd race off the layoff and ran a new top.. has paired a top effort last year but this year ran a 2x after the  0 top... i would expect a paired top or a 0 this race

the 6 horse has been pretty consistent this year and even with a high weight i feel could get a piece of the exotics if it can run a little better than last out

 no real value i dont think here...il key the 3 with 5 and 6 ex tri...
Title: Re: ROTW
Post by: shanahan on August 12, 2006, 06:30:42 AM
I know many of you disregard the thoropattern, but I give it consideration...as far as I can tell JWRush won\'t be on my ticket (thus guaranteeing the win)...I take Afrashado and War Front with good figs, and high pattern % to pair or even move up just enough to hit new highs.
why BCHill is in here is puzzling.
Title: Re: ROTW
Post by: marcus on August 12, 2006, 06:35:54 AM
curly - not bad for a beginner , you learn fast ... how\'d you do it - wheaties, right ?  

the #3 does look like the X factor in here . the most positive thing i can say about the #4 is that he should be well rested now and IF turn\'s it around today ,  take\'s it @ big ballons .

the field is too small for your play ( ex + tr key 1x2) to offer any real value as you\'ve mentioned - why not just go with the win  or try to hook something up w / dd\'s , p-3\'s etc or just pass ...  

obviously , many times there isn\'t just \" one way \" to look at a race , the rotw analysis is good and use\'s a common sense approach .  
Title: Re: ROTW
Post by: curly on August 12, 2006, 10:04:43 AM
I will def look for the odds of the 3 and play the win if i can get around 5-2... something just tells me that we are looking at 6-5 at best and i will probably just watch the race on espn and pass
Title: Re: ROTW
Post by: marcus on August 12, 2006, 10:58:37 AM
yeah  that sounds about right , 6-5 when the late  rebate $ kicks in . whats the \" out of the box \" thinking w/ #6 ? late developing - quasi 02X ?    
Title: Re: ROTW
Post by: curly on August 12, 2006, 01:10:52 PM
Its funny you mention the 6... that horse scares me..  even after the new top the beginning of the year, the horse has been no more than 1.5 points off his top this year and has run very consistently especially compared to the field.. i really think he can get a big part of the exotics especially if the top 2 regress ..we\'ll see..  10 min or so to post... good luck