Why can\'t Diabolical do well here? If you ignore his turf racing (which should not be applicable), he has a beautiful line. Although he is definitely slower than a lot of these coming in, he is also easily the horse most eligible to make a big jump up. While the three coming out of the Derby are clearly faster than him even with a nice jump up, he seems the best of the rest to me. I realize that some people will say the breeding is no good for the distance, but I have seen that Pimlico strip carry shortwinded sprinters a lot further than they could go on any other track. Also, I would be concerned about it if I were taking 20-1 on him, but at 40-1 or 50-1 I feel I am being compensated for the risk of him not having the wind. The big problem is that I cannot figure how to capitalize on him given the absurdities of Maryland pari-mutuel rules. If the big three meltdown (not unheard of) he would make a nice win ticket, though.
socal,
second dam is plenty of grace, a long winded mare i had in the \'92 diana at the spa. so there is some bottom there, but still a bit short for 1 3/16.
drop the turf, as you say, and i like the line as well. fast maiden win, too fast early, rank, then a very nice \'4.5\' when stretching out for the first time as a two year old. fast sprint this year, then back to top going 1m last without being used. if this race were 1m or 1 1/16m, i would feel comfortable predicting a big new top. the distance, even at pim, worries me though.