I calculated projected Derby odds based on the payouts with the 4 fillies who took the most money in the Oaks betting. Here's the list:
Jazil – 25
Steppenwolfer – 23
Keyed Entry – 37
Sinister Minister – 15
Point Determined – 6
Showing Up – 31
Bob and John – 10
Barbaro – 9/2
Sharp Humor – 39
AP Warrior – 10
Sweetnorthernsaint – 5.5
Private Vow – 43
Bluegrass Cat – 34
Deputy Glitters - 100
Seaside Retreat – 120
Cause to Believe – 46
Lawyer Ron – 10
Brother Derek – 7
Storm Treasure – 85
Flashy Bull – 98
I'd expect that, based on the results of the Oaks, the longshots and the closers might see more play than this method projects.
Bit, Thanks
If that do not fool with the track tomorrow, I would stay away from inside speed which did looked bad today.
Mike
nice going bit - we\'ll probably see jazil , private vow get more play certainly . the biggest surprise\'s for me is storm treasure - keyed entry - bluegrass cat . interestingly , keyed entry is aprx tied for 2nd fastest on tg numbers and is off a bs near 02X pattern - storm treasure could jump up a few pts at 99-1 . i\'m going w/ a 4 horse box that includes those 2 and will wait right up untill post time to decide whether to throw out the favorites from the others spots ...